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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
20 Jun 2025 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 55%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 52% to 100% during the match (Yorkshire: 0% to 48%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Lythrun out · Callum Parkinson · Callum Parkinson3 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Callum Parkinson | 38 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 118.75 |
 Dawid Malanbowled · Matthew Potts2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Matthew Potts | 21 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 190.91 |
 Jonny Bairstowbowled · Nathan Sowter1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Nathan Sowter | 19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 111.76 |
 William Luxtoncaught · Matthew Potts · Callum Parkinson0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Matthew Potts · b Callum Parkinson |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
| James Whartoncaught · BS McKinney · Callum Parkinson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · BS McKinney · b Callum Parkinson | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Will Sutherlandbowled · James Neesham2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b James Neesham | 20 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 117.65 |
|---|
 Jordan Thompsoncaught · Callum Parkinson · Nathan Sowter2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Callum Parkinson · b Nathan Sowter | 13 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 144.44 |
|---|
 Dominic Bessrun out · Will Rhodes · Nathan Sowter0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Will Rhodes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| JA Chohancaught · Alex Lees · James Neesham 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Lees · b James Neesham | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Dan Moriartynot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 William O’Rourkecaught · Will Rhodes · Matthew Potts0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Rhodes · b Matthew Potts | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Zakary Foulkes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Matthew Potts0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 6.29 | 0 | 0 |
| James Neesham0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 7.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-42 (Dawid Malan, 4.2) · 2-65 (Jonny Bairstow, 8.2) · 3-72 (William Luxton, 9.4) · 4-89 (James Wharton, 11.1) · 5-91 (Adam Lyth, 11.4) · 6-111 (Jordan Thompson, 14.2) · 7-112 (Dominic Bess, 14.3) · 8-128 (Will Sutherland, 16.4) · 9-129 (JA Chohan, 17.0) · 10-130 (William O’Rourke, 17.3)
Recorded target: 194 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 24/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 28/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 40/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 49/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 51/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 54/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 64/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 69/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 74/3 |
| 11 | 15 | 89/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 92/5 |
| 13 | 9 | 101/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 110/5 |
| 15 | 5 | 115/7 |
| 16 | 8 | 123/7 |
| 17 | 6 | 129/9 |
| 18 | 1 | 130/10 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dan Moriarty: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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