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Sri Lanka tour of Bangladesh · 2023/24 · Men
30 Mar 2024 · Test
Chittagong Divisional Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Sri Lanka more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mahmudul Hasan Joybowled · Prabath Jayasuriya3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Prabath Jayasuriya | 24 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 75.00 |
 Zakir Hasancaught · Dhananjaya de Silva · Vishwa Fernando2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhananjaya de Silva · b Vishwa Fernando | 19 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 48.72 |
 Najmul Hossain Shantobowled · Lahiru Kumara2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lahiru Kumara | 20 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 36.36 |
| caught · Lahiru Kumara · b Prabath Jayasuriya |
| 50 |
| 56 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 89.29 |
 Shakib Al Hasancaught · Nishan Madushka · Kamindu Mendis3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nishan Madushka · b Kamindu Mendis | 36 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 67.92 |
|---|
 Litton Dascaught · Kusal Mendis · Lahiru Kumara4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kusal Mendis · b Lahiru Kumara | 38 | 72 | 4 | 0 | 52.78 |
|---|
| Shahadat Hossainlbw · Kamindu Mendis 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kamindu Mendis | 15 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 44.12 |
|---|
 Mehedi Hasannot out14 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 81* | 110 | 14 | 0 | 73.64 |
|---|
 Taijul Islamcaught · Nishan Madushka · Kamindu Mendis2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nishan Madushka · b Kamindu Mendis | 14 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Hasan Mahmudcaught · Nishan Madushka · Lahiru Kumara1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nishan Madushka · b Lahiru Kumara | 6 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 24.00 |
|---|
 Khaled Ahmedbowled · Lahiru Kumara0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lahiru Kumara | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 9 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Vishwa Fernando0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 3.90 | 0 | 0 |
| Asitha Fernando2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 2 | 62 | 0 | 4.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Lahiru Kumara3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 3 | 50 | 4 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Prabath Jayasuriya2 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 27.0 | 2 | 99 | 2 | 3.67 | 0 | 2 |
| Dhananjaya de Silva2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 3.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamindu Mendis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 3.20 | 0 | 0 |
1-37 (Mahmudul Hasan Joy, 9.5) · 2-51 (Zakir Hasan, 15.0) · 3-94 (Najmul Hossain Shanto, 26.2) · 4-132 (Mominul Haque, 33.1) · 5-193 (Shakib Al Hasan, 49.4) · 6-197 (Litton Das, 52.5) · 7-243 (Shahadat Hossain, 61.3) · 8-281 (Taijul Islam, 71.5) · 9-312 (Hasan Mahmud, 82.4) · 10-318 (Khaled Ahmed, 85.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 25/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 27/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 27/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 31/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 33/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 38/1 |
| 11 | 0 | 38/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 40/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 44/1 |
| 14 | 3 | 47/1 |
| 15 | 4 | 51/2 |
| 16 | 11 | 62/2 |
| 17 | 1 | 63/2 |
| 18 | 2 | 65/2 |
| 19 | 8 | 73/2 |
| 20 | 6 | 79/2 |
| 21 | 6 | 85/2 |
| 22 | 0 | 85/2 |
| 23 | 4 | 89/2 |
| 24 | 1 | 90/2 |
| 25 | 0 | 90/2 |
| 26 | 2 | 92/2 |
| 27 | 3 | 95/3 |
| 28 | 3 | 98/3 |
| 29 | 5 | 103/3 |
| 30 | 11 | 114/3 |
| 31 | 6 | 120/3 |
| 32 | 4 | 124/3 |
| 33 | 8 | 132/3 |
| 34 | 0 | 132/4 |
| 35 | 2 | 134/4 |
| 36 | 8 | 142/4 |
| 37 | 2 | 144/4 |
| 38 | 1 | 145/4 |
| 39 | 6 | 151/4 |
| 40 | 5 | 156/4 |
| 41 | 3 | 159/4 |
| 42 | 5 | 164/4 |
| 43 | 9 | 173/4 |
| 44 | 4 | 177/4 |
| 45 | 1 | 178/4 |
| 46 | 4 | 182/4 |
| 47 | 2 | 184/4 |
| 48 | 7 | 191/4 |
| 49 | 1 | 192/4 |
| 50 | 1 | 193/5 |
| 51 | 1 | 194/5 |
| 52 | 1 | 195/5 |
| 53 | 3 | 198/6 |
| 54 | 2 | 200/6 |
| 55 | 5 | 205/6 |
| 56 | 6 | 211/6 |
| 57 | 5 | 216/6 |
| 58 | 9 | 225/6 |
| 59 | 6 | 231/6 |
| 60 | 7 | 238/6 |
| 61 | 5 | 243/6 |
| 62 | 4 | 247/7 |
| 63 | 1 | 248/7 |
| 64 | 5 | 253/7 |
| 65 | 12 | 265/7 |
| 66 | 1 | 266/7 |
| 67 | 2 | 268/7 |
| 68 | 1 | 269/7 |
| 69 | 1 | 270/7 |
| 70 | 4 | 274/7 |
| 71 | 2 | 276/7 |
| 72 | 5 | 281/8 |
| 73 | 1 | 282/8 |
| 74 | 1 | 283/8 |
| 75 | 8 | 291/8 |
| 76 | 4 | 295/8 |
| 77 | 0 | 295/8 |
| 78 | 0 | 295/8 |
| 79 | 4 | 299/8 |
| 80 | 2 | 301/8 |
| 81 | 3 | 304/8 |
| 82 | 8 | 312/8 |
| 83 | 2 | 314/9 |
| 84 | 4 | 318/9 |
| 85 | 0 | 318/10 |
Angelo Mathews: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Khaled Ahmed: Press Information Department · Public domain
Vishwa Fernando: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Shakib Al Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zakir Hasan: Press Information Department · Public domain
Dinesh Chandimal: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dimuth Karunaratne: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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