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West Indies tour of India · 2026/27 · Men
27 Sept 2026 · ODI
Greenfield International Stadium, Thiruvananthapuram · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
West Indies started on 14%; West Indies batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Campbellcaught · Prasidh Krishna · Kuldeep Yadav 6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Prasidh Krishna · b Kuldeep Yadav | 62 | 60 | 6 | 3 | 103.33 |
| Justin Greaveslbw · Kuldeep Yadav 12 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kuldeep Yadav | 101 | 108 | 12 | 0 | 93.52 |
| Keacy Cartycaught · Shubman Gill · Prasidh Krishna 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shubman Gill · b Prasidh Krishna | 13 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 41.94 |
 Shai Hopecaught · Ravindra Jadeja · Kuldeep Yadav1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ravindra Jadeja · b Kuldeep Yadav | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 109.09 |
| Amir Jangoonot out 7 fours · 1 sixes | not out |
West Indies's chances ranged from 0% to 54% during the match (India: 47% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 43 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 134.88 |
| J Andrewcaught · Rohit Sharma · Kuldeep Yadav 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rohit Sharma · b Kuldeep Yadav | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Roston Chasebowled · Prasidh Krishna3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Prasidh Krishna | 24 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Matthew Fordecaught · Naman Dhir · Nitish Kumar Reddy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Naman Dhir · b Nitish Kumar Reddy | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 58.33 |
|---|
| Gudakesh Motienot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 9 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prasidh Krishna0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 60 | 2 | 6.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Nitish Kumar Reddy0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Gurnoor Brar0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 60 | 0 | 6.00 | 4 | 0 |
 Ravindra Jadeja0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 54 | 0 | 5.40 | 0 | 0 |
| Naman Dhir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 6.60 | 0 | 0 |
 Kuldeep Yadav1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 40 | 4 | 4.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-135 (John Campbell, 19.2) · 2-176 (Keacy Carty, 30.1) · 3-195 (Shai Hope, 33.5) · 4-198 (Justin Greaves, 35.3) · 5-198 (J Andrew, 35.4) · 6-250 (Roston Chase, 45.0) · 7-288 (Matthew Forde, 49.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 18 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 35/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 38/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 48/0 |
| 7 | 12 | 60/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 62/0 |
| 9 | 16 | 78/0 |
| 10 | 7 | 85/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 89/0 |
| 12 | 3 | 92/0 |
| 13 | 3 | 95/0 |
| 14 | 9 | 104/0 |
| 15 | 3 | 107/0 |
| 16 | 4 | 111/0 |
| 17 | 7 | 118/0 |
| 18 | 11 | 129/0 |
| 19 | 6 | 135/0 |
| 20 | 1 | 136/1 |
| 21 | 4 | 140/1 |
| 22 | 2 | 142/1 |
| 23 | 8 | 150/1 |
| 24 | 5 | 155/1 |
| 25 | 1 | 156/1 |
| 26 | 3 | 159/1 |
| 27 | 2 | 161/1 |
| 28 | 7 | 168/1 |
| 29 | 2 | 170/1 |
| 30 | 6 | 176/1 |
| 31 | 3 | 179/2 |
| 32 | 8 | 187/2 |
| 33 | 5 | 192/2 |
| 34 | 3 | 195/3 |
| 35 | 3 | 198/3 |
| 36 | 0 | 198/5 |
| 37 | 1 | 199/5 |
| 38 | 7 | 206/5 |
| 39 | 4 | 210/5 |
| 40 | 3 | 213/5 |
| 41 | 3 | 216/5 |
| 42 | 12 | 228/5 |
| 43 | 15 | 243/5 |
| 44 | 4 | 247/5 |
| 45 | 3 | 250/6 |
| 46 | 11 | 261/6 |
| 47 | 8 | 269/6 |
| 48 | 10 | 279/6 |
| 49 | 9 | 288/6 |
| 50 | 7 | 295/7 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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