Punjab KingsversusRoyal Challengers Bengaluru

25 Mar 2024 · T20

M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Royal Challengers Bengaluru won by 4 wickets

Punjab Kings20.0 overs176/6 Royal Challengers Bengaluru19.2 overs178/6 M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Punjab Kings started on 48%; Punjab Kings batted first.

Punjab Kings’s chance of winning (%) · Royal Challengers Bengaluru is the rest

Punjab Kings's chances ranged from 8% to 86% during the match (Royal Challengers Bengaluru: 14% to 92%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 12.1: Harpreet Brar to GJ Maxwell, GJ Maxwell out. Punjab Kings up from 39% to 55%.
2nd inns 18.5: HV Patel to KD Karthik, six by KD Karthik. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 35% to 65%.
2nd inns 19.1: Arshdeep Singh to KD Karthik, six by KD Karthik. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 57% to 92%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Royal Challengers Bengaluru chose to field
Player of the match: Virat Kohli
match referees: M Nayyar
reserve umpires: M Krishnadas
tv umpires: BNJ Oxenford
umpires: AK Chaudhary, MV Saidharshan Kumar

Match history & source

On 25 Mar 2024, Punjab Kings played Royal Challengers Bengaluru at M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru. Recorded result: Royal Challengers Bengaluru won by 4 wickets.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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