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Photo: St Kitts & Nevis Government; permission: https://www.flickr.com/photos/skngov/14733563912
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Bangladesh Women tour of West Indies · 2024/25 · Women
24 Jan 2025 · ODI
Warner Park, St Kitts · Venue photographRecorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 39%; Bangladesh batted first.
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 0% to 52% during the match (West Indies: 48% to 100%).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hayley Matthewslbw · Nahida Akter3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nahida Akter | 22 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Qiana Josephcaught and bowled · Marufa Akter 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Marufa Akter | 39 | 66 | 5 | 0 | 59.09 |
 Shemaine Campbellenot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 25* | 47 | 2 | 0 | 53.19 |
 Deandra Dottinnot out4 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 33* | 19 | 4 | 2 | 173.68 |
| Extras |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 |
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marufa Akter1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 39 | 1 | 5.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Fariha Trisna0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 4.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Nahida Akter0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 4.17 | 1 | 0 |
 Fahima Khatun0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Rabeya Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 3.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Sobhana Mostary0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-45 (Hayley Matthews, 11.5) · 2-73 (Qiana Joseph, 21.0)
Recorded target: 119 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 10/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 11/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 17/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 22/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 28/0 |
| 9 | 9 | 37/0 |
| 10 | 1 | 38/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 42/0 |
| 12 | 3 | 45/1 |
| 13 | 1 | 46/1 |
| 14 | 6 | 52/1 |
| 15 | 2 | 54/1 |
| 16 | 2 | 56/1 |
| 17 | 5 | 61/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 63/1 |
| 19 | 3 | 66/1 |
| 20 | 2 | 68/1 |
| 21 | 5 | 73/2 |
| 22 | 3 | 76/2 |
| 23 | 11 | 87/2 |
| 24 | 3 | 90/2 |
| 25 | 7 | 97/2 |
| 26 | 4 | 101/2 |
| 27 | 14 | 115/2 |
| 28 | 7 | 122/2 |
Sharmin Akhter: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fahima Khatun: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nigar Sultana: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nahida Akter: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Marufa Akter: Press Information Department · Public domain
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Murshida Khatun: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fargana Hoque: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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