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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Africa Region Division Two Qualifier · 2025 · Women
24 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Mozambique more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Lesotho started on 27%; Lesotho batted first.
Lesotho's chances ranged from 0% to 71% during the match (Mozambique: 29% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KM Molapocaught · WNA Bucuane · O Matsolo 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · WNA Bucuane · b O Matsolo | 17 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 48.57 |
| T Khabocaught and bowled · P Cuinica 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b P Cuinica | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| B Tlalirun out · C Magaia, I Chuma · A Salomao 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · C Magaia, I Chuma | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
| P Phekorun out · C Magaia, R Haiong · O Matsolo 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · C Magaia, R Haiong | 8 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| MA Nyabelacaught · A Salomao · AL Mundundo 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Salomao · b AL Mundundo | 19 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 76.00 |
| bowled · b O Mondlane |
| 3 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 25.00 |
| B Phelenyanerun out · C Magaia, A Salomao · P Cuinica 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · C Magaia, A Salomao | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 54.55 |
|---|
| T Kobelirun out · C Magaia, IE Mulhovo · P Cuinica 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · C Magaia, IE Mulhovo | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| T Ramabitsanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 24 · noballs: 6 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Salomao0 maidens · 6 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 4.25 | 6 | 1 |
| P Cuinica0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 7 | 0 |
| YM Murrure0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 1 |
| O Matsolo0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 2.75 | 4 | 0 |
| O Mondlane0 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 3 |
| AL Mundundo0 maidens · 7 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 6.00 | 7 | 1 |
1-4 (T Khabo, 2.0) · 2-16 (B Tlali, 4.1) · 3-39 (P Pheko, 7.4) · 4-65 (KM Molapo, 11.5) · 5-81 (MA Nyabela, 15.2) · 6-84 (N Thekiso, 16.2) · 7-99 (T Kobeli, 19.5) · 8-100 (B Phelenyane, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 15/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 25/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 31/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 37/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 40/3 |
| 9 | 11 | 51/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 55/3 |
| 11 | 10 | 65/3 |
| 12 | 2 | 67/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 71/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 74/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 78/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 83/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 87/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 94/6 |
| 19 | 2 | 96/6 |
| 20 | 4 | 100/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.