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Australia Women tour of India · 2023/24 · Women
2 Jan 2024 · ODI
Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Australia started on 75%; Australia batted first.
Australia's chances ranged from 75% to 100% during the match (India: 0% to 25%).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yastika Bhatiabowled · Megan Schutt 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Megan Schutt | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 42.86 |
 Smriti Mandhanacaught · Kim Garth · Megan Schutt5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kim Garth · b Megan Schutt | 29 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Richa Ghoshbowled · Georgia Wareham3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Georgia Wareham | 19 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 65.52 |
 Harmanpreet Kaurcaught · Beth Mooney · Georgia Wareham0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Beth Mooney · b Georgia Wareham | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 0 |
| 30.00 |
 Jemimah Rodriguescaught · Alana King · Ashleigh Gardner3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alana King · b Ashleigh Gardner | 25 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 92.59 |
|---|
 Deepti Sharmanot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 25* | 39 | 2 | 0 | 64.10 |
|---|
| Amanjot Kaurcaught · Phoebe Litchfield · Alana King 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Phoebe Litchfield · b Alana King | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
 Pooja Vastrakarbowled · Alana King1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Alana King | 14 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Shreyanka Patilcaught · Tahlia McGrath · Annabel Sutherland 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tahlia McGrath · b Annabel Sutherland | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
 Renuka Singhcaught · Alyssa Healy · Annabel Sutherland0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alyssa Healy · b Annabel Sutherland | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Mannat Kashyapcaught · Beth Mooney · Georgia Wareham 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Beth Mooney · b Georgia Wareham | 8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 53.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 13 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Megan Schutt1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 23 | 2 | 3.83 | 1 | 0 |
 Kim Garth0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 6.60 | 6 | 0 |
 Georgia Wareham0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.4 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 3.45 | 0 | 0 |
 Ashleigh Gardner0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 5.43 | 5 | 0 |
 Alana King0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 4.20 | 1 | 0 |
 Annabel Sutherland0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-32 (Yastika Bhatia, 5.0) · 2-43 (Smriti Mandhana, 8.1) · 3-57 (Harmanpreet Kaur, 11.1) · 4-72 (Richa Ghosh, 16.0) · 5-98 (Jemimah Rodrigues, 20.3) · 6-102 (Amanjot Kaur, 22.2) · 7-128 (Pooja Vastrakar, 26.3) · 8-135 (Shreyanka Patil, 29.2) · 9-135 (Renuka Singh, 29.3) · 10-148 (Mannat Kashyap, 32.4)
Recorded target: 339 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 27/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 33/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 37/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 43/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 43/2 |
| 10 | 10 | 53/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 57/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 59/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 63/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 66/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 70/3 |
| 16 | 2 | 72/4 |
| 17 | 7 | 79/4 |
| 18 | 8 | 87/4 |
| 19 | 3 | 90/4 |
| 20 | 3 | 93/4 |
| 21 | 6 | 99/5 |
| 22 | 3 | 102/5 |
| 23 | 2 | 104/6 |
| 24 | 10 | 114/6 |
| 25 | 9 | 123/6 |
| 26 | 4 | 127/6 |
| 27 | 1 | 128/7 |
| 28 | 4 | 132/7 |
| 29 | 3 | 135/7 |
| 30 | 4 | 139/9 |
| 31 | 6 | 145/9 |
| 32 | 1 | 146/9 |
| 33 | 2 | 148/10 |
Georgia Wareham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tahlia McGrath: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Renuka Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Megan Schutt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashleigh Gardner: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beth Mooney: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alyssa Healy: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kim Garth: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Pooja Vastrakar: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Annabel Sutherland: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Phoebe Litchfield: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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