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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A · 2026 · Men
20 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Guernsey more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Slovenia started on 12%; Slovenia batted first.
Slovenia's chances ranged from 0% to 13% during the match (Guernsey: 88% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Barkercaught and bowled · DK Pallekonda 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b DK Pallekonda | 22 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 137.50 |
| Josh Butlercaught · Waqar Khan · Saeed Waqar Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waqar Khan · b Saeed Waqar Ali | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Tom Nightingalecaught · D Matla · JL Kovacic 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · D Matla · b JL Kovacic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 116.67 |
| Matthew Stokescaught · DK Pallekonda · Izaz Ali 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · DK Pallekonda · b Izaz Ali | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 106.67 |
| Oliver Nightingalecaught · Tarun Sharma (2) · JL Kovacic 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tarun Sharma (2) · b JL Kovacic | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 105.88 |
| Isaac Damarellcaught and bowled · DK Pallekonda 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b DK Pallekonda | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| M Dale-Bradleynot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 23* | 14 | 2 | 1 | 164.29 |
|---|
| E Robinsonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JL Kovacic0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Saeed Waqar Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Izaz Ali0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
| DK Pallekonda0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
| AS Kumaran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 36.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (Josh Butler, 1.3) · 2-21 (Tom Nightingale, 3.0) · 3-53 (Lucas Barker, 7.0) · 4-53 (Matthew Stokes, 7.1) · 5-62 (Isaac Damarell, 8.1) · 6-90 (Oliver Nightingale, 12.2)
Recorded target: 100 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 21/2 |
| 4 | 11 | 32/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 36/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 46/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 53/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 62/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 66/5 |
| 10 | 9 | 75/5 |
| 11 | 12 | 87/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 90/5 |
| 13 | 1 | 91/6 |
| 14 | 6 | 97/6 |
| 15 | 6 | 103/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.