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ECA Men's European Cup · 2026 · Men
25 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Austria started on 83%; Austria batted first.
Austria's chances ranged from 75% to 100% during the match (Turkey: 0% to 25%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Furkan Tuskanbowled · Bilal Zalmai 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Bilal Zalmai | 6 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Muhammet Bicercaught · Shadnan Khan · Aqib Iqbal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shadnan Khan · b Aqib Iqbal | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mustafa Balkisbowled · AA Wagh 1 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b AA Wagh | 35 | 40 | 1 | 3 | 87.50 |
| Muhammad Fahadcaught · Aqib Iqbal · Umair Tariq 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aqib Iqbal · b Umair Tariq | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
| Murat Yilmazbowled · Baseer Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Baseer Khan | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 23.08 |
| bowled · b Baseer Khan |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Ibrahim Kursad Dalyancaught · Umair Tariq · Aqib Iqbal 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Umair Tariq · b Aqib Iqbal | 15 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 88.24 |
|---|
| Mertcan Filizcaught · Zeshan Arif · Waqar Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zeshan Arif · b Waqar Zalmai | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Mertcan Donmeznot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Mustafa Atmacanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilal Zalmai0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Waqar Zalmai0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Aqib Iqbal1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Maiwand Momand0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Umair Tariq0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4.00 | 2 | 0 |
| AA Wagh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Irfan Safi0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Baseer Khan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Karanbir Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Furkan Tuskan, 3.0) · 2-6 (Muhammet Bicer, 3.4) · 3-25 (Muhammad Fahad, 7.1) · 4-50 (Murat Yilmaz, 11.1) · 5-51 (Serdar Burak Emir, 11.3) · 6-70 (Mustafa Balkis, 16.0) · 7-78 (Ibrahim Kursad Dalyan, 16.4) · 8-83 (Mertcan Filiz, 17.5)
Recorded target: 222 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 6/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 6/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 9/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 19/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 25/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 29/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 36/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 42/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 49/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 53/5 |
| 13 | 2 | 55/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 63/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 67/5 |
| 16 | 3 | 70/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 78/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 84/8 |
| 19 | 6 | 90/8 |
| 20 | 4 | 94/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.