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Canada T20 Tri-Series · 2024 · Men
3 Oct 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 45%; Oman batted first.
Oman's chances ranged from 0% to 49% during the match (Canada: 51% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanwarpal Tathgurcaught · Hammad Mirza · Kaleemullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hammad Mirza · b Kaleemullah | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
| Dilpreet Bajwacaught · Shoaib Khan · Kaleemullah 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shoaib Khan · b Kaleemullah | 14 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 107.69 |
| Navneet Dhaliwalstumped · Hammad Mirza · Zeeshan Maqsood 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Hammad Mirza · b Zeeshan Maqsood | 11 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 64.71 |
| Harsh Thakerlbw · Aaqib Ilyas 0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Aaqib Ilyas | 18 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 85.71 |
| Shreyas Movvanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
| caught · Mehran Khan · b Aaqib Ilyas |
| 20 |
| 13 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 153.85 |
| Ravinderpal Singhnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakeel Ahmed0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 4.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Kaleemullah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Zeeshan Maqsood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaqib Ilyas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Bukkapatnam Siddharth0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 13.71 | 3 | 0 |
1-19 (Dilpreet Bajwa, 3.1) · 2-20 (Kanwarpal Tathgur, 3.4) · 3-50 (Harsh Thaker, 9.1) · 4-54 (Navneet Dhaliwal, 10.5) · 5-75 (Nicholas Kirton, 13.2)
Recorded target: 83 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 21/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 26/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 28/2 |
| 7 | 12 | 40/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 45/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 50/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 53/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 54/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 60/4 |
| 13 | 9 | 69/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 76/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 83/5 |
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
