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Scotland T20 Tri-Series · 2025 · Men
18 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Scotland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 35%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 34% to 100% during the match (Scotland: 0% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Munseycaught · Aryan Dutt · Teja Nidamanuru 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Aryan Dutt · b Teja Nidamanuru | 26 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 118.18 |
 Mark Wattrun out · Michael Levitt · Michael Levitt1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Michael Levitt | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Brandon McMullencaught · Noah Croes · Teja Nidamanuru 8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Noah Croes · b Teja Nidamanuru | 51 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 188.89 |
| Richie Berringtoncaught · Noah Croes · Teja Nidamanuru 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Noah Croes · b Teja Nidamanuru | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Finlay McCreathlbw · Daniel Doram 0 fours · 1 sixes |
| lbw · b Daniel Doram |
| 10 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 142.86 |
| Michael Leaskcaught · Max O'Dowd · Roelof van der Merwe 1 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Max O'Dowd · b Roelof van der Merwe | 46 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Matty Crosscaught · Vikramjit Singh · Roelof van der Merwe 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Vikramjit Singh · b Roelof van der Merwe | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 118.18 |
|---|
| Chris Greavescaught · Noah Croes · Aryan Dutt 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Noah Croes · b Aryan Dutt | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 137.50 |
|---|
| Charlie Cassellnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Mackenzie Jonesrun out · Ryan Klein, Aryan Dutt · Aryan Dutt 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Ryan Klein, Aryan Dutt | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Kingma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Levitt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Aryan Dutt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Doram0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Vikramjit Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 18.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Teja Nidamanuru0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Roelof van der Merwe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-11 (Mark Watt, 2.3) · 2-61 (George Munsey, 7.4) · 3-77 (Richie Berrington, 9.1) · 4-97 (Brandon McMullen, 11.2) · 5-107 (Finlay McCreath, 12.2) · 6-151 (Matty Cross, 16.2) · 7-164 (Chris Greaves, 18.0) · 8-170 (Michael Leask, 18.3) · 9-181 (Mackenzie Jones, 20.0)
Recorded target: 199 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 20/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 23/1 |
| 6 | 25 | 48/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 55/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 62/2 |
| 9 | 15 | 77/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 84/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 95/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 106/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 114/5 |
| 14 | 14 | 128/5 |
| 15 | 14 | 142/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 147/5 |
| 17 | 10 | 157/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 164/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 172/8 |
| 20 | 9 | 181/9 |
Mark Watt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
