UP WarriorzversusDelhi Capitals

22 Feb 2025 · T20

M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru · Venue photograph

Recorded result

UP Warriorz won by 33 runs

UP Warriorz20.0 overs177/9 Delhi Capitals19.3 overs144/10 M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

UP Warriorz started on 41%; UP Warriorz batted first.

UP Warriorz’s chance of winning (%) · Delhi Capitals is the rest

UP Warriorz's chances ranged from 21% to 100% during the match (Delhi Capitals: 0% to 79%).

Biggest swings

2.2: M Kapp to D Vrinda, D Vrinda out. Delhi Capitals up from 50% to 60%.
16.4: S Pandey to CA Henry, six by CA Henry. UP Warriorz up from 30% to 39%.
2nd inns 4.3: K Goud to MM Lanning, MM Lanning out. UP Warriorz up from 64% to 76%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Delhi Capitals chose to field
Player of the match: Chinelle Henry
match referees: NK Lokur
reserve umpires: AS Guha
tv umpires: VG Rathi
umpires: KM Gandhi, K Kelkar

Match history & source

On 22 Feb 2025, UP Warriorz played Delhi Capitals at M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru. Recorded result: UP Warriorz won by 33 runs.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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