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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B · 2026 · Men
10 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Estonia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hungary started on 44%; Hungary batted first.
Hungary's chances ranged from 23% to 96% during the match (Estonia: 4% to 77%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Habib Khanbowled · SA Mohandas 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b SA Mohandas | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 112.50 |
| S Goochretired hurt · Kamran Wahid 1 fours · 0 sixes | retired hurt | 8* | 15 | 1 | 0 | 53.33 |
| Sahil Chauhancaught · Kamran Wahid · SA Mohandas 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kamran Wahid · b SA Mohandas | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Arslan Amjadrun out · V Ravindran · SA Mohandas 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · V Ravindran | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Bilal Masudcaught · V Ravindran · Kamran Wahid 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · V Ravindran · b Kamran Wahid | 17 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 141.67 |
| Zeeshan Ali (3) |
| caught · Z Marosy · b Kamran Wahid |
| 6 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| A Paulrun out · V Ravindran, Z Marosy · Muhammad Soban 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · V Ravindran, Z Marosy | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| H Aggarwalbowled · Muhammad Saqlain 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Saqlain | 21 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 80.77 |
|---|
| Aditya Panwarcaught · M Bhaiji · Amal Jacob 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · M Bhaiji · b Amal Jacob | 29 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 116.00 |
|---|
| H Pattendennot out 1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 21* | 12 | 1 | 2 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Ashraful Shuvonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Saqlain0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| SA Mohandas1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamran Wahid0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Muhammad Soban0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Amal Jacob0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 6 | 0 |
1-9 (Habib Khan, 1.4) · 2-11 (Sahil Chauhan, 3.2) · 3-11 (Arslan Amjad, 4.0) · 4-41 (Bilal Masud, 8.4) · 5-42 (Zeeshan Ali (3), 9.0) · 6-43 (A Paul, 9.1) · 7-97 (Aditya Panwar, 16.5) · 8-122 (H Aggarwal, 19.0)
Recorded target: 133 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 11/3 |
| 5 | 3 | 14/3 |
| 6 | 8 | 22/3 |
| 7 | 7 | 29/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 33/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 42/5 |
| 10 | 6 | 48/6 |
| 11 | 2 | 50/6 |
| 12 | 4 | 54/6 |
| 13 | 7 | 61/6 |
| 14 | 7 | 68/6 |
| 15 | 6 | 74/6 |
| 16 | 8 | 82/6 |
| 17 | 16 | 98/7 |
| 18 | 14 | 112/7 |
| 19 | 10 | 122/8 |
| 20 | 4 | 126/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.