South AfricaversusWest Indies

17 Jun 2025 · ODI

Three Ws Oval, Cave Hill, Barbados · Venue photograph

Recorded result

South Africa won by 166 runs

South Africa45.5 overs278/6 West Indies27.5 overs121/9 Three Ws Oval, Cave Hill, Barbados ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Too close to call

53%South Africa47%West Indies

Why

West Indies are playing at home in Barbados
On results in ODIs so far, South Africa rate stronger than West Indies (1,512 vs 1,435 on our results rating)
In the last 10 ODIs between these sides, South Africa won 7 and West Indies won 3

Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.