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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
15 Jul 2026 · T20
County Ground, Northampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Gloucestershire started on 40%; Gloucestershire batted first.
Gloucestershire's chances ranged from 0% to 49% during the match (Northamptonshire: 51% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Vasconceloscaught · Ben Charlesworth · Marchant de Lange 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Charlesworth · b Marchant de Lange | 42 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 140.00 |
 Chris Lynnretired hurt · Graeme van Buuren3 fours · 0 sixes | retired hurt | 18* | 20 | 3 | 0 | 90.00 |
| Nathan McSweeneylbw · D'Arcy Short 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b D'Arcy Short | 28 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 140.00 |
 David Willeynot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 47* | 33 | 1 | 1 | 142.42 |
| Lewis McManus |
| not out |
| 12* |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 300.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Graeme van Buuren0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Duan Jansen0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.82 | 3 | 1 |
 Marchant de Lange0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 2 | 0 |
 D'Arcy Short0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-78 (Ricardo Vasconcelos, 9.3) · 2-113 (Nathan McSweeney, 15.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 28/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 39/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 48/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 57/0 |
| 8 | 11 | 68/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 72/0 |
| 10 | 8 | 80/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 84/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 90/1 |
| 13 | 7 | 97/1 |
| 14 | 11 | 108/1 |
| 15 | 5 | 113/2 |
| 16 | 11 | 124/2 |
| 17 | 15 | 139/2 |
| 18 | 14 | 153/2 |
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Charlesworth: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marchant de Lange: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
James Bracey: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Graeme van Buuren: Dave Morton · Public domain
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Matt Taylor: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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