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Malaysia Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2024 · Men
25 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Malaysia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Kuwait started on 35%; Kuwait batted first.
Kuwait's chances ranged from 30% to 100% during the match (Malaysia: 0% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syed Azizcaught · Yasin Patel · Mohomad Aslam 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Yasin Patel · b Mohomad Aslam | 25 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 119.05 |
| Zubaidi Zulkiflecaught · Muhammad Umar · Yasin Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Umar · b Yasin Patel | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Sharvin Muniandylbw · Mohomad Aslam 3 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Mohomad Aslam | 39 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 130.00 |
| Muhammad Amircaught · Yasin Patel · Adnan Idrees 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Yasin Patel · b Adnan Idrees | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
| Ahmed Faizstumped · Usman Patel · Shiraz Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Usman Patel · b Shiraz Khan | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| caught · Usman Patel · b Mohomad Aslam |
| 4 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 57.14 |
| Ahmed Aqeelnot out 2 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 47* | 30 | 2 | 3 | 156.67 |
|---|
| Muhamad Syahadatcaught · Mohomad Aslam · Mohamed Shafeeq 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohomad Aslam · b Mohamed Shafeeq | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Wafiqbowled · Yasin Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Yasin Patel | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Pavandeep Singhnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 15 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Shafeeq0 maidens · 7 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 51 | 1 | 12.75 | 7 | 1 |
| Yasin Patel0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Mohomad Aslam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Adnan Idrees0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Shiraz Khan0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 5 | 0 |
1-4 (Zubaidi Zulkifle, 1.2) · 2-47 (Syed Aziz, 6.0) · 3-64 (Muhammad Amir, 8.3) · 4-67 (Ahmed Faiz, 10.0) · 5-78 (Ainool Hafizs, 12.3) · 6-79 (Sharvin Muniandy, 13.0) · 7-106 (Muhamad Syahadat, 17.1) · 8-120 (Muhammad Wafiq, 18.3)
Recorded target: 164 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 18 | 30/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 37/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 46/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 47/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 57/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 63/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 65/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 67/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 70/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 75/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 79/6 |
| 14 | 12 | 91/6 |
| 15 | 4 | 95/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 101/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 106/6 |
| 18 | 13 | 119/7 |
| 19 | 10 | 129/8 |
| 20 | 16 | 145/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.