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Photo: Mat Fascione
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
6 Jul 2024 · T20
Grace Road, Leicester · Venue photographRecorded result
Leicestershire started on 49%; Leicestershire batted first.
Leicestershire's chances ranged from 1% to 72% during the match (Derbyshire: 28% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rishi Patelbowled · Zak Chappell 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zak Chappell | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 107.14 |
| Sol Budingerbowled · Zak Chappell 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Zak Chappell | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 187.50 |
 Paul Stirlingrun out · Wayne Madsen · Patrick Brown0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Wayne Madsen | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Lewis Goldsworthycaught · Ross Whiteley · Zak Chappell 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ross Whiteley · b Zak Chappell | 48 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 117.07 |
| James Neeshambowled · Samit Patel 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Samit Patel |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 72.73 |
| Louis Kimbercaught · Aneurin Donald · Samit Patel 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Aneurin Donald · b Samit Patel | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Ben Coxnot out4 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 61* | 30 | 4 | 4 | 203.33 |
|---|
 Ben Mikenot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 157.14 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammad Amir0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.50 | 3 | 0 |
 Zak Chappell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 3 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Brown0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 1 | 2 |
 Samit Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Alex Thomson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Luis Reece0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-17 (Sol Budinger, 1.4) · 2-27 (Paul Stirling, 3.2) · 3-38 (Rishi Patel, 5.0) · 4-58 (James Neesham, 8.3) · 5-78 (Louis Kimber, 10.3) · 6-126 (Lewis Goldsworthy, 16.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 16 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 32/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 38/3 |
| 6 | 7 | 45/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 48/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 57/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 61/4 |
| 10 | 10 | 71/4 |
| 11 | 13 | 84/5 |
| 12 | 9 | 93/5 |
| 13 | 10 | 103/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 112/5 |
| 15 | 8 | 120/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 126/6 |
| 17 | 12 | 138/6 |
| 18 | 15 | 153/6 |
| 19 | 15 | 168/6 |
| 20 | 16 | 184/6 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Mike: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luis Reece: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Brooke Guest: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Alex Thomson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
