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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
26 Jun 2026 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
Warwickshire started on 56%; Warwickshire batted first.
Warwickshire's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Worcestershire: 0% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z Malikcaught · Brett D'Oliveira · Matthew Waite 11 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Brett D'Oliveira · b Matthew Waite | 99 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 215.22 |
| Rob Yatescaught · Matthew Waite · Tom Taylor 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Waite · b Tom Taylor | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
10 fours · 3 sixes | run out · Ben Allison | 79 | 44 | 10 | 3 | 179.55 |
| Dan Mousleybowled · Sikandar Raza 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sikandar Raza | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Sam Haincaught · Matthew Waite · Tom Taylor 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Waite |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Ed Barnardcaught · Sikandar Raza · Usama Mir 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sikandar Raza · b Usama Mir | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Gareth Roderick | 15 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Kai Smithcaught and bowled · Matthew Waite 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Matthew Waite | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Gareth Roderick, Matthew Waite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Usman Tariqrun out · Gareth Roderick · Matthew Waite 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Gareth Roderick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 2 | 12.50 | 2 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 15.50 | 2 | 0 | |
| Usama Mir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Rob Yates, 0.4) · 2-178 (Z Malik, 14.5) · 3-184 (Beau Webster, 15.4) · 4-184 (Dan Mousley, 15.5) · 5-193 (Ed Barnard, 17.0) · 6-193 (Sam Hain, 17.1) · 7-223 (Kai Smith, 19.4) · 8-223 (Jordan Thompson, 19.5) · 9-224 (Richard Gleeson, 19.5) · 10-224 (Usman Tariq, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/1 |
| 2 | 11 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 12 | 31/1 |
| 4 | 19 | 50/1 |
| 5 | 16 | 66/1 |
| 6 | 13 | 79/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 83/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 94/1 |
| 9 | 14 | 108/1 |
| 10 | 11 | 119/1 |
| 11 | 14 | 133/1 |
| 12 | 16 | 149/1 |
| 13 | 10 | 159/1 |
| 14 | 8 | 167/1 |
| 15 | 12 | 179/2 |
| 16 | 6 | 185/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 193/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 201/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 210/6 |
| 20 | 14 | 224/10 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kashif Ali: @Ahtasham.135 · CC BY 3.0
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Allison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Waite: Dave Morton · Public domain
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fateh Singh: Dave Morton · Public domain
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.