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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
25 May 2026 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Sussex started on 48%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 0% to 91% during the match (Kent: 9% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hughescaught · Daniel Bell-Drummond · Dian Forrester 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Bell-Drummond · b Dian Forrester | 26 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 130.00 |
| Tom Clarkcaught · Tawanda Muyeye · AM Foreman 9 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Tawanda Muyeye · b AM Foreman | 79 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 272.41 |
| James Colescaught · Jacob Lintott · Matt Milnes 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jacob Lintott · b Matt Milnes | 28 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 107.69 |
| John Simpsoncaught · Joe Denly · Dian Forrester 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Denly · b Dian Forrester | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught and bowled · b Dian Forrester |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tawanda Muyeye · b Fred Klaassen | 30 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Danny Lambnot out 1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 22* | 12 | 1 | 2 | 183.33 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Klaassen0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 51 | 1 | 12.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 17.50 | 1 | 1 |
| AM Foreman0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 12.50 | 1 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Dian Forrester1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-98 (Tom Clark, 7.1) · 2-117 (Daniel Hughes, 9.3) · 3-129 (John Simpson, 11.1) · 4-129 (Tom Alsop, 11.2) · 5-173 (James Coles, 17.1) · 6-193 (Jack Leaning, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 30/0 |
| 4 | 22 | 52/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 62/0 |
| 6 | 30 | 92/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 98/0 |
| 8 | 12 | 110/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 116/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 122/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 129/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 130/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 133/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 141/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 149/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 160/4 |
| 17 | 13 | 173/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 176/5 |
| 19 | 17 | 193/6 |
| 20 | 4 | 197/6 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fynn Hudson-Prentice: Dave Morton · Public domain
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.