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Photo: Benchill
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
12 Jan 2026 · T20
University Oval, Dunedin · Venue photographRecorded result
Otago started on 46%; Otago batted first.
Otago's chances ranged from 1% to 60% during the match (Auckland: 40% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JM Cummingcaught · Rohit Gulati · AL Olliver 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rohit Gulati · b AL Olliver | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
| Jamal Toddcaught · Bevon Jacobs · Ryan Harrison 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Bevon Jacobs · b Ryan Harrison | 24 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 240.00 |
| Jack Boylelbw · Ryan Harrison 3 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Ryan Harrison | 32 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 145.45 |
 Max Chucaught and bowled · Rohit Gulati2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Rohit Gulati | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 118.18 |
| Llew Johnsonrun out · Mark Chapman, Cam Fletcher · H Johal 4 fours · 3 sixes | run out · Mark Chapman, Cam Fletcher |
| 44 |
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 143.18 |
| Troy Johnsoncaught · Dale Phillips · AL Olliver 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dale Phillips · b AL Olliver | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Jake Gibsonbowled · S Dixit 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b S Dixit | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Ben Lockrosebowled · S Dixit 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b S Dixit | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Danru Fernscaught · Ryan Harrison · H Johal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ryan Harrison · b H Johal | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Jacob Duffyrun out · Mark Chapman, Cam Fletcher · H Johal0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Mark Chapman, Cam Fletcher | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Matthew Baconnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL Olliver0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| H Johal0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Ryan Harrison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Rohit Gulati0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| S Dixit0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 |
1-20 (JM Cumming, 2.2) · 2-28 (Jamal Todd, 3.2) · 3-57 (Max Chu, 6.5) · 4-85 (Jack Boyle, 10.5) · 5-95 (Troy Johnson, 12.3) · 6-129 (Jake Gibson, 15.5) · 7-129 (Ben Lockrose, 16.0) · 8-141 (Danru Ferns, 17.3) · 9-157 (Llew Johnson, 19.4) · 10-159 (Jacob Duffy, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 36/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 40/2 |
| 6 | 13 | 53/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 58/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 62/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 70/3 |
| 10 | 12 | 82/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 85/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 93/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 97/5 |
| 14 | 5 | 102/5 |
| 15 | 18 | 120/5 |
| 16 | 9 | 129/7 |
| 17 | 8 | 137/7 |
| 18 | 8 | 145/8 |
| 19 | 9 | 154/8 |
| 20 | 5 | 159/10 |
Martin Guptill: Government House, Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet · CC0
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Cam Fletcher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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