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Photo: Benchill
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
12 Jan 2026 · T20
University Oval, Dunedin · Venue photographRecorded result
Otago started on 46%; Otago batted first.
Otago's chances ranged from 1% to 60% during the match (Auckland: 40% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Phillipscaught · Troy Johnson · Matthew Bacon 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Troy Johnson · b Matthew Bacon | 13 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 92.86 |
| Sean Soliacaught · Jake Gibson · Jacob Duffy 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jake Gibson · b Jacob Duffy | 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 257.14 |
 Martin Guptillcaught · Danru Ferns · Ben Lockrose0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Danru Ferns · b Ben Lockrose | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mark Chapmanlbw · Troy Johnson 3 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Troy Johnson | 39 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 139.29 |
| Bevon Jacobsnot out 7 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 78* | 51 |
| 7 |
| 5 |
| 152.94 |
 Cam Fletcherlbw · Troy Johnson2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Troy Johnson | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Ryan Harrisonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jacob Duffy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Danru Ferns0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 13.88 | 1 | 0 |
| Ben Lockrose0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Bacon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Troy Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Jake Gibson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-29 (Sean Solia, 2.4) · 2-30 (Martin Guptill, 3.4) · 3-32 (Dale Phillips, 4.2) · 4-119 (Mark Chapman, 15.3) · 5-147 (Cam Fletcher, 17.4)
Recorded target: 160 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 29/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 32/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 37/3 |
| 6 | 4 | 41/3 |
| 7 | 9 | 50/3 |
| 8 | 10 | 60/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 63/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 68/3 |
| 11 | 13 | 81/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 89/3 |
| 13 | 12 | 101/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 106/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 115/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 121/4 |
| 17 | 19 | 140/4 |
| 18 | 9 | 149/5 |
| 19 | 12 | 161/5 |
Martin Guptill: Government House, Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet · CC0
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Cam Fletcher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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