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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier · 2024/25 · Men
7 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Bermuda more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bermuda started on 89%; Bermuda batted first.
Bermuda's chances ranged from 86% to 100% during the match (Suriname: 0% to 14%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Hardatcaught and bowled · J Proctor 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b J Proctor | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| V Hirlalcaught · Kevon Fubler · J Proctor 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kevon Fubler · b J Proctor | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
| K Jaikarancaught · D Sabir · Kevon Fubler 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Sabir · b Kevon Fubler | 9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| T Ramautarbowled · Derrick Brangman 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Derrick Brangman | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Gavin Singhstumped · Sinclair Smith · Kevon Fubler 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Sinclair Smith · b Kevon Fubler | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
| caught · Zeko Burgess · b Derrick Brangman |
| 7 |
| 26 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 26.92 |
| Vishwar Shawcaught · Zeko Burgess · Kevon Fubler 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zeko Burgess · b Kevon Fubler | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| YP Dayalcaught and bowled · Zeko Burgess 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Zeko Burgess | 22 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 78.57 |
|---|
| Vishaul Singhbowled · Dion Stovell 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Dion Stovell | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| XSD Smithnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 13 | 0 | 0 | 38.46 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Proctor0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 2 | 1 |
| Zeko Burgess0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick Brangman0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Kevon Fubler1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Dion Stovell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 3.75 | 1 | 0 |
| D Sabir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-17 (K Hardat, 2.3) · 2-25 (V Hirlal, 4.3) · 3-28 (T Ramautar, 6.0) · 4-28 (K Jaikaran, 6.1) · 5-36 (Gavin Singh, 10.2) · 6-36 (Vishwar Shaw, 10.5) · 7-43 (Arun Gokoel, 14.1) · 8-51 (Vishaul Singh, 16.0) · 9-69 (YP Dayal, 20.0)
Recorded target: 162 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 18/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 19/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 25/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 28/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 29/4 |
| 8 | 1 | 30/4 |
| 9 | 2 | 32/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 36/4 |
| 11 | 1 | 37/6 |
| 12 | 3 | 40/6 |
| 13 | 0 | 40/6 |
| 14 | 3 | 43/6 |
| 15 | 3 | 46/7 |
| 16 | 5 | 51/8 |
| 17 | 4 | 55/8 |
| 18 | 4 | 59/8 |
| 19 | 2 | 61/8 |
| 20 | 8 | 69/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.