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India tour of Australia · 2024/25 · Men
6 Dec 2024 · Test
Adelaide Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Usman Khawajacaught · Rohit Sharma · Jasprit Bumrah2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rohit Sharma · b Jasprit Bumrah | 13 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 37.14 |
| Nathan McSweeneycaught · Rishabh Pant · Jasprit Bumrah 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Jasprit Bumrah | 39 | 109 | 6 | 0 | 35.78 |
 Marnus Labuschagnecaught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · Nitish Kumar Reddy9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · b Nitish Kumar Reddy | 64 | 126 | 9 | 0 | 50.79 |
 |
| caught · Rishabh Pant · b Jasprit Bumrah |
| 2 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 18.18 |
 Travis Headbowled · Mohammed Siraj17 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b Mohammed Siraj | 140 | 141 | 17 | 4 | 99.29 |
|---|
 Mitchell Marshcaught · Rishabh Pant · Ravichandran Ashwin1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 9 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 34.62 |
|---|
 Alex Careycaught · Rishabh Pant · Mohammed Siraj0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Mohammed Siraj | 15 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 46.88 |
|---|
 Pat Cumminsbowled · Jasprit Bumrah2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasprit Bumrah | 12 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 54.55 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starccaught · Harshit Rana · Mohammed Siraj3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harshit Rana · b Mohammed Siraj | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
 Nathan Lyonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Scott Bolandbowled · Mohammed Siraj0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammed Siraj | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 13 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 7 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jasprit Bumrah5 maidens · 0 wides · 5 no-balls | 23.0 | 5 | 61 | 4 | 2.65 | 0 | 5 |
 Mohammed Siraj5 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 24.3 | 5 | 98 | 4 | 4.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Harshit Rana2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 2 | 86 | 0 | 5.38 | 0 | 0 |
 Nitish Kumar Reddy2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 2 | 25 | 1 | 4.17 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravichandran Ashwin4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 4 | 53 | 1 | 2.94 | 0 | 0 |
1-24 (Usman Khawaja, 11.0) · 2-91 (Nathan McSweeney, 36.1) · 3-103 (Steve Smith, 40.1) · 4-168 (Marnus Labuschagne, 54.3) · 5-208 (Mitchell Marsh, 63.4) · 6-282 (Alex Carey, 77.0) · 7-310 (Travis Head, 81.4) · 8-332 (Pat Cummins, 85.0) · 9-332 (Mitchell Starc, 85.1) · 10-337 (Scott Boland, 87.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 13/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 17/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 21/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 21/0 |
| 10 | 1 | 22/0 |
| 11 | 2 | 24/1 |
| 12 | 0 | 24/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 28/1 |
| 14 | 4 | 32/1 |
| 15 | 4 | 36/1 |
| 16 | 1 | 37/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 38/1 |
| 18 | 0 | 38/1 |
| 19 | 9 | 47/1 |
| 20 | 0 | 47/1 |
| 21 | 4 | 51/1 |
| 22 | 4 | 55/1 |
| 23 | 3 | 58/1 |
| 24 | 8 | 66/1 |
| 25 | 4 | 70/1 |
| 26 | 4 | 74/1 |
| 27 | 0 | 74/1 |
| 28 | 2 | 76/1 |
| 29 | 1 | 77/1 |
| 30 | 7 | 84/1 |
| 31 | 1 | 85/1 |
| 32 | 0 | 85/1 |
| 33 | 1 | 86/1 |
| 34 | 4 | 90/1 |
| 35 | 0 | 90/1 |
| 36 | 1 | 91/1 |
| 37 | 4 | 95/2 |
| 38 | 1 | 96/2 |
| 39 | 1 | 97/2 |
| 40 | 6 | 103/2 |
| 41 | 5 | 108/3 |
| 42 | 0 | 108/3 |
| 43 | 8 | 116/3 |
| 44 | 1 | 117/3 |
| 45 | 5 | 122/3 |
| 46 | 5 | 127/3 |
| 47 | 4 | 131/3 |
| 48 | 7 | 138/3 |
| 49 | 4 | 142/3 |
| 50 | 1 | 143/3 |
| 51 | 17 | 160/3 |
| 52 | 0 | 160/3 |
| 53 | 6 | 166/3 |
| 54 | 2 | 168/3 |
| 55 | 0 | 168/4 |
| 56 | 11 | 179/4 |
| 57 | 6 | 185/4 |
| 58 | 1 | 186/4 |
| 59 | 5 | 191/4 |
| 60 | 1 | 192/4 |
| 61 | 6 | 198/4 |
| 62 | 4 | 202/4 |
| 63 | 5 | 207/4 |
| 64 | 3 | 210/5 |
| 65 | 4 | 214/5 |
| 66 | 0 | 214/5 |
| 67 | 6 | 220/5 |
| 68 | 10 | 230/5 |
| 69 | 9 | 239/5 |
| 70 | 4 | 243/5 |
| 71 | 9 | 252/5 |
| 72 | 3 | 255/5 |
| 73 | 12 | 267/5 |
| 74 | 3 | 270/5 |
| 75 | 3 | 273/5 |
| 76 | 1 | 274/5 |
| 77 | 8 | 282/6 |
| 78 | 2 | 284/6 |
| 79 | 7 | 291/6 |
| 80 | 0 | 291/6 |
| 81 | 9 | 300/6 |
| 82 | 15 | 315/7 |
| 83 | 1 | 316/7 |
| 84 | 11 | 327/7 |
| 85 | 5 | 332/8 |
| 86 | 0 | 332/9 |
| 87 | 2 | 334/9 |
| 88 | 3 | 337/10 |
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Scott Boland: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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