Perth ScorchersversusMelbourne Stars

2 Nov 2026 · T20

Junction Oval, Melbourne · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Perth Scorchers won by 15 runs

Perth Scorchers20.0 overs124/9 Melbourne Stars18.1 overs109/10 Junction Oval, Melbourne ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Perth Scorchers started on 49%; Perth Scorchers batted first.

Perth Scorchers’s chance of winning (%) · Melbourne Stars is the rest

Perth Scorchers's chances ranged from 12% to 86% during the match (Melbourne Stars: 14% to 88%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 13.1: AL Edgar to MM Lanning, MM Lanning out. Perth Scorchers up from 31% to 58%.
2nd inns 15.6: AL Edgar to G Prestwidge, six by G Prestwidge. Melbourne Stars up from 64% to 88%.
2nd inns 17.6: A King to ML Gibson, ML Gibson out. Perth Scorchers up from 59% to 86%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match highlights

All highlights →

1–1 of 1

Melbourne Stars v Perth Scorchers Highlights | WBBL|12 | Fox Cricket

Fox Cricket · Uploaded 2026-11-02

Perth Scorchers124/9 Melbourne Stars109/10

Innings 2

Melbourne Stars

109/1018.1 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Melbourne Stars batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Rhys McKennacaught · Beth Mooney · Chloe Ainsworth 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Beth Mooney · b Chloe Ainsworth	0	1	0	0	0.00
Meg Lanningcaught · Fatima Sana · Amy Edgar 3 fours · 1 sixes	caught · Fatima Sana · b Amy Edgar	41	36	3	1	113.89
Amy Jonescaught · Chloe Ainsworth · Sophie Devine 3 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Chloe Ainsworth · b Sophie Devine	18	16	3	0	112.50

Bowler	Overs	M	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD	NB
Chloe Ainsworth0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	0	15	1	5.00	0	0
Fatima Sana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	0	21	0	10.50	0	0
Sophie Devine0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	19	4	4.75	2	0
Alana King1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	1	17	3	4.25	1	0
Amy Edgar0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls	3.0	0	20	1	6.67	0	1
Lilly Mills0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.1	0	12	1	5.54	0	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	5	5/1
2	11	16/1
3	7	23/1
4	7	30/3
5	5	35/3
6	3	38/3
7	7	45/4
8	6	51/4
9	10	61/4
10	5	66/4
11	6	72/4
12	5	77/4
13	2	79/5
14	3	82/6
15	7	89/6
16	13	102/6
17	7	109/7
18	0	109/9
19	0	109/10

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