Abu Dhabi Knight RidersversusDesert Vipers

5 Dec 2025 · T20

Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Desert Vipers won by 2 wickets

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders20.0 overs171/6 Desert Vipers19.3 overs175/8 Sharjah Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders started on 40%; Abu Dhabi Knight Riders batted first.

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Desert Vipers is the rest

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders's chances ranged from 4% to 88% during the match (Desert Vipers: 12% to 96%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 16.4: AD Russell to SO Hetmyer, SO Hetmyer out. Abu Dhabi Knight Riders up from 55% to 77%.
2nd inns 18.5: AD Russell to Khuzaima Tanveer, four by Khuzaima Tanveer. Desert Vipers up from 37% to 59%.
2nd inns 19.1: OP Stone to Khuzaima Tanveer, six by Khuzaima Tanveer. Desert Vipers up from 55% to 95%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders171/6 Desert Vipers175/8

Innings 1