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Pakistan tour of West Indies · 2025 · Men
31 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 73%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 62% to 100% during the match (West Indies: 0% to 38%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnson Charlescaught · Mohammad Haris · Mohammad Nawaz 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mohammad Haris · b Mohammad Nawaz | 35 | 36 | 2 | 2 | 97.22 |
| J Andrewcaught · Fakhar Zaman · Mohammad Nawaz 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Fakhar Zaman · b Mohammad Nawaz | 35 | 33 | 1 | 3 | 106.06 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hassan Nawaz · b Saim Ayub | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Gudakesh Motiecaught · Saim Ayub · Mohammad Nawaz 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saim Ayub · b Mohammad Nawaz | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sherfane Rutherfordcaught · Fakhar Zaman · Saim Ayub1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Fakhar Zaman · b Saim Ayub |
| 11 |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sahibzada Farhan · b Shaheen Afridi | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Romario Shepherdbowled · Sufyan Moqeem 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Sufyan Moqeem | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 240.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 30* | 12 | 0 | 4 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephnot out 1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 21* | 12 | 1 | 2 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 3 | 0 | |
| Mohammad Nawaz0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fahim Ashraf0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 15.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Sufyan Moqeem0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Saim Ayub0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 10.00 | 3 | 0 |
1-72 (J Andrew, 11.1) · 2-75 (Johnson Charles, 11.4) · 3-75 (Gudakesh Motie, 11.5) · 4-77 (Shai Hope, 12.5) · 5-92 (Sherfane Rutherford, 14.3) · 6-110 (Roston Chase, 15.5) · 7-110 (Romario Shepherd, 16.1)
Recorded target: 179 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 27/0 |
| 5 | 13 | 40/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 47/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 51/0 |
| 8 | 3 | 54/0 |
| 9 | 3 | 57/0 |
| 10 | 6 | 63/0 |
| 11 | 9 | 72/0 |
| 12 | 3 | 75/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 79/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 84/4 |
| 15 | 16 | 100/5 |
| 16 | 10 | 110/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 114/7 |
| 18 | 12 | 126/7 |
| 19 | 19 | 145/7 |
| 20 | 19 | 164/7 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Haris Rauf: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Fakhar Zaman: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.