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Photo: user:jguk
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
11 Jun 2025 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographThe Blaze started on 53%; The Blaze batted first.
The Blaze's chances ranged from 54% to 100% during the match (Surrey: 0% to 46%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 11 Jun 2025, The Blaze played Surrey at The Oval. Recorded result: The Blaze won by 17 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.