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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia & EAP Qualifier · 2025/26 · Men
9 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Japan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Kuwait started on 41%; Kuwait batted first.
Kuwait's chances ranged from 0% to 75% during the match (Japan: 25% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendel Kadowaki-Flemingrun out · NT Rajendran · NT Rajendran 5 fours · 0 sixes | run out · NT Rajendran | 28 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 147.37 |
| Abhishek Anandcaught · Ravija Sandaruwan · Muhammad Aqif Farooq 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ravija Sandaruwan · b Muhammad Aqif Farooq | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Esam Rahmancaught · Yasin Patel · Shiraz Khan 9 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Yasin Patel · b Shiraz Khan | 64 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 164.10 |
| S Ravichandranrun out · Shiraz Khan · Anudeep Chenthamara 3 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Shiraz Khan | 39 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 134.48 |
| Ibrahim Takahashicaught · Muhammad Aqif Farooq · Yasin Patel 0 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Muhammad Aqif Farooq · b Yasin Patel | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 3 |
| 173.33 |
| B Ito-Davisnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| D Suzukinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 8 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Aqif Farooq0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasin Patel0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| NT Rajendran0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Anudeep Chenthamara0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohomad Aslam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.3 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Shiraz Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Abhishek Anand, 2.4) · 2-68 (Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming, 7.4) · 3-106 (Esam Rahman, 11.4) · 4-152 (Ibrahim Takahashi, 16.0) · 5-177 (S Ravichandran, 19.0)
Recorded target: 178 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 28/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 41/1 |
| 5 | 16 | 57/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 63/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 66/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 73/2 |
| 9 | 12 | 85/2 |
| 10 | 10 | 95/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 98/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 107/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 117/3 |
| 14 | 14 | 131/3 |
| 15 | 11 | 142/3 |
| 16 | 10 | 152/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 157/4 |
| 18 | 14 | 171/4 |
| 19 | 6 | 177/5 |
| 20 | 1 | 178/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.