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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
19 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 78%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 77% to 100% during the match (Bhutan: 0% to 23%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Pradhancaught and bowled · D Parashar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b D Parashar | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Tenjin Rabgeycaught · Junaid Siddique · D Parashar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Junaid Siddique · b D Parashar | 10 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 41.67 |
| J Singyecaught and bowled · Zuhaib Zubair 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Zuhaib Zubair | 14 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 77.78 |
| Ranjung Mikyo Dorjibowled · D Parashar 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b D Parashar | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 105.88 |
| Thinley Jamtshocaught · Zuhaib Zubair · Nilansh Keswani 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Zuhaib Zubair · b Nilansh Keswani | 28 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 116.67 |
| caught · Rahul Chopra · b D Parashar |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 40.00 |
| Gakul Ghalleybowled · Muhammad Jawadullah 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 11 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 68.75 |
|---|
| T Wangchukbowled · Muhammad Jawadullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Tshering Tashinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 1 | 0 |
| D Parashar0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Nilansh Keswani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 5.67 | 3 | 0 |
| Zuhaib Zubair0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Ali Naseer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (S Pradhan, 3.1) · 2-22 (Tenjin Rabgey, 6.0) · 3-41 (J Singye, 9.3) · 4-70 (Ranjung Mikyo Dorji, 13.1) · 5-72 (Namgay Thinley, 14.0) · 6-90 (Thinley Jamtsho, 17.1) · 7-98 (T Wangchuk, 19.1) · 8-103 (Gakul Ghalley, 20.0)
Recorded target: 169 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 15/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 18/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 22/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 25/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 29/2 |
| 9 | 10 | 39/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 45/3 |
| 11 | 13 | 58/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 62/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 70/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 72/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 76/5 |
| 16 | 9 | 85/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 90/5 |
| 18 | 3 | 93/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 98/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 103/8 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
