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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
23 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Qatar more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Qatar started on 81%; Qatar batted first.
Qatar's chances ranged from 81% to 100% during the match (Cambodia: 0% to 19%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salvin Stanlybowled · Mohammed Aslam 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammed Aslam | 11 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 73.33 |
| Lakshit Guptarun out · Imal Liyanage, A Nagarajan · Ikramullah Khan 4 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Imal Liyanage, A Nagarajan | 49 | 46 | 4 | 2 | 106.52 |
| Shah Abrar Hussainbowled · Mohammed Aslam 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammed Aslam | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| M Chadhabowled · Owais Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Owais Ahmed | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| E Beukesstumped · Imal Liyanage · A Nagarajan 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Imal Liyanage · b A Nagarajan | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| caught · Mohammed Rizlan · b A Nagarajan |
| 20 |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 181.82 |
| US Hathinjarstumped · Imal Liyanage · Mohammed Aslam 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Imal Liyanage · b Mohammed Aslam | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Utkarsh Jainnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 24* | 19 | 1 | 1 | 126.32 |
|---|
| NT Gireeshbowled · Ikramullah Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ikramullah Khan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| GC Murtazanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Farooq0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nouman Sarwar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Mohammed Aslam0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| A Nagarajan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Owais Ahmed0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 11.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Ikramullah Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Salvin Stanly, 4.5) · 2-27 (Shah Abrar Hussain, 5.0) · 3-43 (M Chadha, 8.1) · 4-46 (E Beukes, 9.3) · 5-83 (Luqman Butt, 13.4) · 6-90 (Lakshit Gupta, 14.5) · 7-93 (US Hathinjar, 16.0) · 8-94 (NT Gireesh, 16.2)
Recorded target: 171 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 27/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 36/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 41/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 43/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 46/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 52/4 |
| 11 | 17 | 69/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 75/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 80/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 85/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 91/6 |
| 16 | 2 | 93/7 |
| 17 | 5 | 98/8 |
| 18 | 5 | 103/8 |
| 19 | 5 | 108/8 |
| 20 | 14 | 122/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.