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Photo: Yorkspotter
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
19 Jun 2025 · T20
Lord's · Venue photographMiddlesex started on 49%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 6% to 76% during the match (Essex: 24% to 94%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazicaught · Jordan Cox · Mohammad Amir 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan Cox · b Mohammad Amir | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 120.00 |
 Kane Williamsoncaught · CWJ Allison · NRM Thain5 fours · 3 sixes | caught · CWJ Allison · b NRM Thain | 53 | 31 | 5 | 3 | 170.97 |
| Max Holdencaught · Paul Walter · Simon Harmer 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Paul Walter · b Simon Harmer | 37 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 123.33 |
| Ben Geddescaught · CWJ Allison · Luc Benkenstein 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · CWJ Allison · b Luc Benkenstein | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 240.00 |
 |
| bowled · b Simon Harmer |
| 3 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Jack Daviescaught · NRM Thain · Luc Benkenstein 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · NRM Thain · b Luc Benkenstein | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 111.11 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmanbowled · Mohammad Amir0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammad Amir | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Zafar Goharrun out · Jordan Cox · Mohammad Amir0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jordan Cox | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Tom Helmcaught · Dean Elgar · Paul Walter1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dean Elgar · b Paul Walter | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Noah Cornwellbowled · Mohammad Amir0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammad Amir | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Neha Sharmanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shane Snater0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 5 | 0 |
 Mohammad Amir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 4.96 | 0 | 0 |
 Simon Harmer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul Walter0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Luc Benkenstein0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew Critchley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| NRM Thain0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-47 (Stephen Eskinazi, 5.0) · 2-108 (Kane Williamson, 11.2) · 3-121 (Ben Geddes, 12.4) · 4-129 (Max Holden, 13.4) · 5-134 (Ryan Higgins, 15.1) · 6-144 (Jack Davies, 16.4) · 7-146 (Luke Hollman, 17.1) · 8-156 (Tom Helm, 18.2) · 9-161 (Noah Cornwell, 19.4) · 10-161 (Zafar Gohar, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 18 | 30/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 41/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 47/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 48/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 56/1 |
| 8 | 12 | 68/1 |
| 9 | 13 | 81/1 |
| 10 | 12 | 93/1 |
| 11 | 11 | 104/1 |
| 12 | 9 | 113/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 123/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 130/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 134/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 138/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 146/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 151/7 |
| 19 | 7 | 158/8 |
| 20 | 3 | 161/10 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
