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Photo: Yorkspotter
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
19 Jun 2025 · T20
Lord's · Venue photographMiddlesex started on 49%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 6% to 76% during the match (Essex: 24% to 94%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dean Elgarcaught · Neha Sharma · Tom Helm3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Neha Sharma · b Tom Helm | 20 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Michael-Kyle Peppercaught · Ryan Higgins · Zafar Gohar 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ryan Higgins · b Zafar Gohar | 25 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 156.25 |
| Jordan Coxbowled · Zafar Gohar 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zafar Gohar | 23 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 121.05 |
| Paul Waltercaught · Kane Williamson · Neha Sharma 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kane Williamson · b Neha Sharma | 30 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 136.36 |
| Luc Benkensteincaught · Ben Geddes · Tom Helm 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Geddes |
| 20 |
| 21 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 95.24 |
 Matthew Critchleycaught · Ryan Higgins · Noah Cornwell1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ryan Higgins · b Noah Cornwell | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 61.54 |
|---|
| CWJ Allisonnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 11 | 1 | 0 | 136.36 |
|---|
| NRM Thainnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neha Sharma0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Noah Cornwell0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 6 | 0 |
 Tom Helm0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Zafar Gohar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ryan Higgins0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-52 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 5.0) · 2-52 (Dean Elgar, 5.1) · 3-106 (Paul Walter, 11.4) · 4-110 (Jordan Cox, 12.3) · 5-128 (Matthew Critchley, 16.1) · 6-154 (Luc Benkenstein, 19.3)
Recorded target: 162 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 24/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 39/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 47/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 52/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 62/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 68/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 76/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 83/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 89/2 |
| 11 | 14 | 103/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 109/3 |
| 13 | 1 | 110/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 114/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 122/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 128/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 133/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 139/5 |
| 19 | 13 | 152/5 |
| 20 | 8 | 160/6 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
