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Finland tour of Cyprus · 2026 · Men
9 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Cyprus more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Finland started on 35%; Finland batted first.
Finland's chances ranged from 25% to 100% during the match (Cyprus: 0% to 75%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R Mazumderrun out · Jordan O'Brien, PEA Karunarathna · PEA Karunarathna 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jordan O'Brien, PEA Karunarathna | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 54.55 |
| A Shahirun out · Jordan O'Brien, Junaid Khan (2) · Junaid Khan (2) 3 fours · 3 sixes | run out · Jordan O'Brien, Junaid Khan (2) | 44 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 133.33 |
| AA Sennbowled · MB Tambe 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b MB Tambe | 16 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
| Adam Senncaught · Jordan O'Brien · Amjad Sher 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan O'Brien · b Amjad Sher | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| MPGT Ketiyagecaught · PEA Karunarathna · Junaid Khan (2) 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · PEA Karunarathna · b Junaid Khan (2) | 21 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 110.53 |
| Karan Singhbowled · MB Tambe 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b MB Tambe |
| 5 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 62.50 |
| Ruel Brathwaitenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 142.86 |
|---|
| Taranjit Singhbowled · PEA Karunarathna 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b PEA Karunarathna | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| SN Pathiranacaught · A Pusthay · Amjad Sher 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Pusthay · b Amjad Sher | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Lovedeep Singhcaught · Faraaz Mehti Abbas · Amjad Sher 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Faraaz Mehti Abbas · b Amjad Sher | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| S Alavalanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amjad Sher0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 4.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Hammadullah Shinwari0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| PEA Karunarathna0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Faraaz Mehti Abbas0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| MB Tambe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Junaid Khan (2)0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 2 | 1 |
1-20 (R Mazumder, 4.1) · 2-61 (AA Senn, 9.5) · 3-73 (A Shahi, 11.0) · 4-85 (Adam Senn, 12.5) · 5-102 (Karan Singh, 16.0) · 6-109 (MPGT Ketiyage, 17.0) · 7-116 (Taranjit Singh, 17.5) · 8-125 (SN Pathirana, 19.1) · 9-129 (Lovedeep Singh, 19.3)
Recorded target: 168 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 13/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 22/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 28/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 38/1 |
| 8 | 15 | 53/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 55/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 62/2 |
| 11 | 11 | 73/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 84/3 |
| 13 | 1 | 85/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 88/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 97/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 102/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 109/6 |
| 18 | 9 | 118/7 |
| 19 | 7 | 125/7 |
| 20 | 4 | 129/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.