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United Arab Emirates T20I Tri-Series · 2025 · Men
30 Aug 2025 · T20
Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 25%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 22% to 100% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 0% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sahibzada Farhanbowled · Junaid Siddique 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Junaid Siddique | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 160.00 |
| Saim Ayubcaught · Rahul Chopra · Saghir Khan 7 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Saghir Khan | 69 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 181.58 |
 Fakhar Zamanbowled · Haider Ali1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Haider Ali | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
| Salman Ali Aghacaught · Rahul Chopra · Saghir Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Saghir Khan | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
| Hassan Nawazcaught · Rahul Chopra · Haider Ali 2 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra |
| 56 |
| 26 |
| 2 |
| 6 |
| 215.38 |
| Mohammad Nawazcaught · Ethan Carl D'Souza · Saghir Khan 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ethan Carl D'Souza · b Saghir Khan | 25 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Mohammad Hariscaught · Muhammad Jawadullah · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Jawadullah · b Junaid Siddique | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Fahim Ashrafrun out · Saghir Khan, Junaid Siddique · Junaid Siddique 1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Saghir Khan, Junaid Siddique | 16 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 160.00 |
|---|
 Hasan Alicaught · Muhammad Zohaib · Junaid Siddique0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Muhammad Zohaib · b Junaid Siddique | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Salman Mirzarun out · Ethan Carl D'Souza, Rahul Chopra, Junaid Siddique · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ethan Carl D'Souza, Rahul Chopra, Junaid Siddique | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Sufyan Moqeemnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 3 | 12.25 | 2 | 0 |
| D Parashar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Haider Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 11.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Saghir Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 3 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Sahibzada Farhan, 0.5) · 2-38 (Fakhar Zaman, 3.1) · 3-74 (Salman Ali Agha, 7.5) · 4-104 (Saim Ayub, 11.3) · 5-161 (Hassan Nawaz, 15.4) · 6-169 (Mohammad Haris, 16.3) · 7-177 (Mohammad Nawaz, 17.2) · 8-203 (Hasan Ali, 19.3) · 9-205 (Fahim Ashraf, 19.5) · 10-207 (Salman Mirza, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 22 | 38/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 40/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 48/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 51/2 |
| 7 | 12 | 63/2 |
| 8 | 12 | 75/3 |
| 9 | 11 | 86/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 93/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 102/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 110/4 |
| 13 | 11 | 121/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 133/4 |
| 15 | 10 | 143/4 |
| 16 | 20 | 163/5 |
| 17 | 13 | 176/6 |
| 18 | 12 | 188/7 |
| 19 | 13 | 201/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 207/10 |
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fakhar Zaman: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
