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United Arab Emirates T20I Tri-Series · 2025 · Men
30 Aug 2025 · T20
Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 25%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 22% to 100% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 0% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Zohaibcaught · Hassan Nawaz · Mohammad Nawaz 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hassan Nawaz · b Mohammad Nawaz | 13 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 92.86 |
| Waseem Muhammadrun out · Mohammad Nawaz, Hasan Ali · Hasan Ali 3 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Mohammad Nawaz, Hasan Ali | 33 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 183.33 |
| Ethan Carl D'Souzacaught · Mohammad Haris · Hasan Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Haris · b Hasan Ali | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
 Alishan Sharafucaught · Sahibzada Farhan · Saim Ayub0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sahibzada Farhan · b Saim Ayub | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Sufyan Moqeem · Mohammad Nawaz1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Sufyan Moqeem · b Mohammad Nawaz |
| 11 |
| 14 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 78.57 |
| Asif Khancaught · Sahibzada Farhan · Hasan Ali 6 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Sahibzada Farhan · b Hasan Ali | 77 | 35 | 6 | 6 | 220.00 |
|---|
| D Parasharcaught · Mohammad Haris · Salman Mirza 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mohammad Haris · b Salman Mirza | 15 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 78.95 |
|---|
| Saghir Khancaught · Mohammad Nawaz · Hasan Ali 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mohammad Nawaz · b Hasan Ali | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 157.14 |
|---|
| Haider Alinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Junaid Siddiquenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salman Mirza0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 7 | 0 |
 Hasan Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 3 | 11.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammad Nawaz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Saim Ayub0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Fahim Ashraf0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Sufyan Moqeem0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-39 (Muhammad Zohaib, 4.1) · 2-54 (Waseem Muhammad, 5.5) · 3-54 (Ethan Carl D'Souza, 6.0) · 4-68 (Alishan Sharafu, 8.4) · 5-76 (Rahul Chopra, 10.2) · 6-130 (D Parashar, 16.2) · 7-175 (Asif Khan, 19.2) · 8-176 (Saghir Khan, 19.4)
Recorded target: 208 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 39/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 43/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 54/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 58/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 67/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 69/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 75/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 79/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 82/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 86/5 |
| 14 | 17 | 103/5 |
| 15 | 19 | 122/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 129/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 136/6 |
| 18 | 17 | 153/6 |
| 19 | 18 | 171/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 176/8 |
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fakhar Zaman: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
