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Central American Cricket Championships · 2025 · Men
17 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Mexico more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Mexico started on 51%; Mexico batted first.
Mexico's chances ranged from 38% to 100% during the match (Costa Rica: 0% to 62%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharina Ravikumarlbw · R Ankad 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b R Ankad | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| D Rawatcaught · D Panda · Pratik Singh Bais 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Panda · b Pratik Singh Bais | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 137.50 |
| K Shivamrun out · Kaushal Kumar, Sanjay Wagh · Pratik Singh Bais 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Kaushal Kumar, Sanjay Wagh | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
| S Pillailbw · D Panda 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b D Panda | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Dhanush Ganeshbowled · D Panda 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b D Panda | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
| RR Saun |
| caught · Kaushal Kumar · b D Panda |
| 4 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| O Sam Arthurnot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 15 | 3 | 0 | 106.67 |
|---|
| PV Naringrekarcaught · Shashikant Laxman · D Panda 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shashikant Laxman · b D Panda | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| JR Luckylbw · A Tripathi 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b A Tripathi | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| ARH Patelcaught · R Poojary · A Tripathi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Poojary · b A Tripathi | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pratik Singh Bais1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
| R Ankad0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 4.67 | 1 | 0 |
| D Panda0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Luis Hermida0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 3 | 0 |
| A Tripathi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Shashikant Laxman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Sharina Ravikumar, 2.0) · 2-15 (D Rawat, 2.4) · 3-20 (K Shivam, 4.3) · 4-23 (Dhanush Ganesh, 6.1) · 5-27 (RR Saun, 6.5) · 6-40 (S Pillai, 8.1) · 7-40 (PV Naringrekar, 8.2) · 8-45 (JR Lucky, 9.5) · 9-50 (ARH Patel, 11.2)
Recorded target: 175 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 15/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 20/2 |
| 5 | 0 | 20/3 |
| 6 | 3 | 23/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 27/5 |
| 8 | 13 | 40/5 |
| 9 | 2 | 42/7 |
| 10 | 3 | 45/8 |
| 11 | 4 | 49/8 |
| 12 | 1 | 50/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.