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Photo: আফতাবুজ্জামান
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Ireland Women tour of Bangladesh · 2024/25 · Women
7 Dec 2024 · T20
Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 78%; Ireland batted first.
Ireland's chances ranged from 72% to 100% during the match (Bangladesh: 0% to 28%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilara Aktercaught · Laura Delany · Orla Prendergast 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laura Delany · b Orla Prendergast | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Sobhana Mostarybowled · Orla Prendergast 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Orla Prendergast | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
 Nigar Sultanabowled · Arlene Kelly1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Arlene Kelly | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
 Sharmin Akhtercaught · Gaby Lewis · Arlene Kelly1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gaby Lewis · b Arlene Kelly | 38 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 88.37 |
| caught and bowled · b Alana Dalzell |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Shorna Aktercaught · Gaby Lewis · Laura Delany 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gaby Lewis · b Laura Delany | 20 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 95.24 |
|---|
 Fahima Khatuncaught · Arlene Kelly · Laura Delany0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Arlene Kelly · b Laura Delany | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
 Jahanara Alamrun out · Amy Hunter, Sarah Forbes · Orla Prendergast0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Amy Hunter, Sarah Forbes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Jannatul Ferdusrun out · Amy Hunter, Aimee Maguire · Arlene Kelly 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Amy Hunter, Aimee Maguire | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Nahida Akterbowled · Orla Prendergast0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Orla Prendergast | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sanjida Akter Meghlanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FA Sargent0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Orla Prendergast0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 4.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Arlene Kelly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Alana Dalzell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Laura Delany0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 5.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Aimee Maguire0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Sobhana Mostary, 1.4) · 2-17 (Dilara Akter, 3.1) · 3-19 (Nigar Sultana, 4.5) · 4-22 (Taj Nehar, 5.4) · 5-70 (Shorna Akter, 12.4) · 6-80 (Fahima Khatun, 15.0) · 7-83 (Jahanara Alam, 15.5) · 8-87 (Sharmin Akhter, 16.4) · 9-87 (Jannatul Ferdus, 16.5) · 10-87 (Nahida Akter, 17.1)
Recorded target: 135 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 18/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 19/3 |
| 6 | 3 | 22/4 |
| 7 | 8 | 30/4 |
| 8 | 11 | 41/4 |
| 9 | 7 | 48/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 53/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 59/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 66/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 71/5 |
| 14 | 6 | 77/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 80/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 84/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 87/9 |
| 18 | 0 | 87/10 |
Jahanara Alam: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sharmin Akhter: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fahima Khatun: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nigar Sultana: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nahida Akter: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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