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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia & EAP Qualifier · 2025/26 · Men
12 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 59%; Oman batted first.
Oman's chances ranged from 44% to 100% during the match (Qatar: 0% to 56%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imal Liyanagerun out · Hammad Mirza, Vinayak Shukla · Shah Faisal 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Hammad Mirza, Vinayak Shukla | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Zubair Alilbw · Sufyan Mehmood 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sufyan Mehmood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 114.29 |
| Shariq Munircaught · Shah Faisal · Shakeel Ahmed 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shah Faisal · b Shakeel Ahmed | 34 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 136.00 |
| Muhammad Asimstumped · Vinayak Shukla · Nadeem Khan (2) 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Vinayak Shukla · b Nadeem Khan (2) | 21 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 91.30 |
| Muhammad Tanveercaught and bowled · Sufyan Mehmood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Sufyan Mehmood | 10 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Mirza Mohammed Baiglbw · Jiten Ramanandi 0 fours · 1 sixes |
|---|
| lbw · b Jiten Ramanandi |
| 10 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 100.00 |
| Shahzaib Jamilcaught · Mohammad Nadeem · Jiten Ramanandi 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mohammad Nadeem · b Jiten Ramanandi | 21 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Ikramullah Khancaught · Sufyan Mehmood · Shah Faisal 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sufyan Mehmood · b Shah Faisal | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 142.86 |
|---|
| Daniel Louiscaught · Jatinder Singh · Jiten Ramanandi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jatinder Singh · b Jiten Ramanandi | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Mujeeb Ur Rehmannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Owais Ahmednot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shah Faisal0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Shakeel Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Sufyan Mehmood0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Nadeem Khan (2)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammad Nadeem0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jiten Ramanandi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-16 (Imal Liyanage, 2.1) · 2-32 (Zubair Ali, 4.0) · 3-80 (Shariq Munir, 10.3) · 4-82 (Muhammad Asim, 11.2) · 5-99 (Mirza Mohammed Baig, 14.2) · 6-107 (Muhammad Tanveer, 16.0) · 7-131 (Shahzaib Jamil, 18.1) · 8-131 (Daniel Louis, 18.2) · 9-137 (Ikramullah Khan, 19.4)
Recorded target: 173 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 32/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 38/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 50/2 |
| 8 | 13 | 63/2 |
| 9 | 13 | 76/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 78/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 82/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 83/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 89/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 98/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 102/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 107/6 |
| 17 | 16 | 123/6 |
| 18 | 8 | 131/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 136/8 |
| 20 | 2 | 138/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.