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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier · 2024/25 · Men
8 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Argentina more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahamas started on 35%; Bahamas batted first.
Bahamas's chances ranged from 17% to 100% during the match (Argentina: 0% to 83%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rossicaught · E Duff · K Hinds 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · E Duff · b K Hinds | 25 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 86.21 |
| Guido Angelettirun out · DG Weakley · K Hinds 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · DG Weakley | 17 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 70.83 |
| P Baroncaught and bowled · Festus Benn 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Festus Benn | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 90.91 |
| A Kirschbaumnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 30* | 28 | 0 | 1 | 107.14 |
| T Rossibowled · Festus Benn 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Festus Benn | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| AAP Riverostumped · J Jemison · Festus Benn0 fours · 0 sixes |
| stumped · J Jemison · b Festus Benn |
| 10 |
| 14 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 71.43 |
 Alejandro Fergusonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DG Weakley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Marc Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| K Hinds0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Sandeep Goud (2)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Festus Benn0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Rudolph Fox0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-36 (Guido Angeletti, 8.0) · 2-54 (P Baron, 10.3) · 3-56 (Lucas Rossi, 11.2) · 4-66 (T Rossi, 14.2) · 5-90 (AAP Rivero, 18.2)
Recorded target: 120 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 27/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 29/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 33/0 |
| 8 | 3 | 36/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 45/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 53/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 55/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 58/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 60/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 66/3 |
| 15 | 3 | 69/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 81/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 85/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 90/4 |
| 19 | 2 | 92/5 |
| 20 | 9 | 101/5 |
Hernán Fennell: BugWarp · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alejandro Ferguson: BugWarp · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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