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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
20 Jun 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Kent started on 47%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 46% to 100% during the match (Essex: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyecaught · Simon Harmer · Shane Snater 6 fours · 7 sixes | caught · Simon Harmer · b Shane Snater | 100 | 59 | 6 | 7 | 169.49 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondcaught · Simon Harmer · Luc Benkenstein3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Simon Harmer · b Luc Benkenstein | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 116.67 |
 Joe Denlycaught · Luc Benkenstein · Simon Harmer3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Luc Benkenstein · b Simon Harmer | 39 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 216.67 |
 Sam Billingsnot out6 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 34* | 19 | 6 |
| 0 |
| 178.95 |
 Jack Leaningnot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 14* | 6 | 1 | 1 | 233.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shane Snater0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 11.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Mohammad Amir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Simon Harmer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 12.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul Walter0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 13.33 | 2 | 0 |
 Matthew Critchley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Luc Benkenstein0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 5 | 0 |
| NRM Thain0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-71 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 7.4) · 2-149 (Joe Denly, 14.0) · 3-192 (Tawanda Muyeye, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 18 | 39/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 46/0 |
| 6 | 16 | 62/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 64/0 |
| 8 | 9 | 73/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 85/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 94/1 |
| 11 | 17 | 111/1 |
| 12 | 26 | 137/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 142/1 |
| 14 | 7 | 149/2 |
| 15 | 11 | 160/2 |
| 16 | 14 | 174/2 |
| 17 | 10 | 184/2 |
| 18 | 8 | 192/2 |
| 19 | 11 | 203/3 |
| 20 | 16 | 219/3 |
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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