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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
20 Jun 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Kent started on 47%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 46% to 100% during the match (Essex: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dean Elgarbowled · Matt Parkinson5 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Matt Parkinson | 50 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 135.14 |
| Michael-Kyle Pepperbowled · Tom Rogers 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Rogers | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Jordan Coxcaught · Jack Leaning · Matt Parkinson 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Leaning · b Matt Parkinson | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 116.67 |
| Paul Walterbowled · Matt Parkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Matt Parkinson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Luc Benkensteincaught · Matt Parkinson 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · b Matt Parkinson | 19 | 7 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 271.43 |
 Matthew Critchleycaught · Tawanda Muyeye · Matt Parkinson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tawanda Muyeye · b Matt Parkinson | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| CWJ Allisoncaught · Daniel Bell-Drummond · Fred Klaassen 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Bell-Drummond · b Fred Klaassen | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| NRM Thaincaught · Joey Evison 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · b Joey Evison | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Simon Harmercaught · Harry Finch · Tom Rogers2 fours · 7 sixes | caught · Harry Finch · b Tom Rogers | 55 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 261.90 |
|---|
 Shane Snatercaught · Harry Finch · Joey Evison0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Finch · b Joey Evison | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Mohammad Amirnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Klaassen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 13.67 | 0 | 2 |
| Nathan Gilchrist0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 14.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Joey Evison0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 2 | 0 |
 Matt Parkinson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Jack Leaning0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 2.0) · 2-67 (Jordan Cox, 8.4) · 3-67 (Paul Walter, 8.5) · 4-90 (Luc Benkenstein, 10.4) · 5-100 (Matthew Critchley, 12.2) · 6-101 (Dean Elgar, 13.0) · 7-111 (CWJ Allison, 14.1) · 8-120 (NRM Thain, 15.1) · 9-120 (Shane Snater, 15.2) · 10-172 (Simon Harmer, 19.0)
Recorded target: 220 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 6/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 9/1 |
| 4 | 17 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 40/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 48/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 53/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 61/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 69/3 |
| 10 | 14 | 83/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 91/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 99/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 101/6 |
| 14 | 10 | 111/6 |
| 15 | 8 | 119/7 |
| 16 | 3 | 122/9 |
| 17 | 12 | 134/9 |
| 18 | 13 | 147/9 |
| 19 | 25 | 172/10 |
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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