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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
5 Jul 2026 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
Yorkshire started on 59%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 44% to 100% during the match (Leicestershire: 0% to 56%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Lythnot out16 fours · 6 sixes | not out | 131* | 63 | 16 | 6 | 207.94 |
 Jonny Bairstowlbw · Rehan Ahmed4 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Rehan Ahmed | 28 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 93.33 |
 William Luxtoncaught · Ashton Turner · Rehan Ahmed0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Rehan Ahmed | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
 Moeen Alicaught · Nick Kelly · Rehan Ahmed0 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Nick Kelly · b Rehan Ahmed |
| 10 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 111.11 |
 Matt Reviscaught · Ben Green · Josh Davey0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ben Green · b Josh Davey | 13 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 144.44 |
|---|
 Andrew Tyenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 8 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hull0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 12.67 | 3 | 0 |
 Alex Green0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Josh Davey0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 1 |
 Rehan Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 11.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Trevaskis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-91 (Jonny Bairstow, 9.4) · 2-103 (William Luxton, 11.1) · 3-136 (Moeen Ali, 14.3) · 4-177 (Matt Revis, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 28/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 35/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 37/0 |
| 5 | 13 | 50/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 58/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 66/0 |
| 8 | 12 | 78/0 |
| 9 | 7 | 85/0 |
| 10 | 6 | 91/1 |
| 11 | 12 | 103/1 |
| 12 | 11 | 114/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 120/2 |
| 14 | 10 | 130/2 |
| 15 | 8 | 138/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 145/3 |
| 17 | 16 | 161/3 |
| 18 | 16 | 177/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 183/4 |
| 20 | 24 | 207/4 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Andrew Tye: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Dan Moriarty: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Green: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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