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Photo: Ranadipam Basu
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Bangladesh Premier League · 2023/24 · Men
19 Jan 2024 · T20
Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur · Venue photographRecorded result
Comilla Victorians started on 62%; Comilla Victorians batted first.
Comilla Victorians's chances ranged from 3% to 72% during the match (Durdanto Dhaka: 28% to 97%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 19 Jan 2024, Comilla Victorians played Durdanto Dhaka at Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur. Recorded result: Durdanto Dhaka won by 5 wickets.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.