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Photo: Michael Coghlan from Adelaide, Australia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2023/24 · Men
19 Jan 2024 · T20
Carrara Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Sixers started on 51%; Sydney Sixers batted first.
Sydney Sixers's chances ranged from 32% to 100% during the match (Brisbane Heat: 0% to 68%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Browncaught · Josh Philippe · Ben Dwarshuis 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Josh Philippe · b Ben Dwarshuis | 15 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 68.18 |
 James Peirsoncaught · Josh Philippe · Hayden Kerr1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Josh Philippe · b Hayden Kerr | 26 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 104.00 |
| Nathan McSweeneybowled · Jack Edwards 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jack Edwards | 11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 84.62 |
 Matt Renshawcaught · Jack Edwards · Ben Dwarshuis0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jack Edwards · b Ben Dwarshuis | 16 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 160.00 |
| caught · Jack Edwards · b Stephen O'Keefe |
| 12 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 133.33 |
| Paul Waltercaught · Stephen O'Keefe · Ben Dwarshuis 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Stephen O'Keefe · b Ben Dwarshuis | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Michael Neserbowled · Ben Dwarshuis0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Dwarshuis | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettcaught · Jack Edwards · Hayden Kerr 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Edwards · b Hayden Kerr | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Spencer Johnsoncaught and bowled · Jack Edwards 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jack Edwards | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 157.14 |
|---|
| Mitchell Swepsonnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 4 | 2 | 0 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Matthew Kuhnemanncaught · Stephen O'Keefe · Ben Dwarshuis 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Stephen O'Keefe · b Ben Dwarshuis | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Edwards1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Sean Abbott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Hayden Kerr0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Stephen O'Keefe0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Ben Dwarshuis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 21 | 5 | 5.48 | 0 | 0 |
 Todd Murphy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-36 (Josh Brown, 6.4) · 2-49 (James Peirson, 8.5) · 3-54 (Nathan McSweeney, 10.4) · 4-73 (Matt Renshaw, 12.3) · 5-73 (Paul Walter, 12.4) · 6-85 (Max Bryant, 14.0) · 7-86 (Xavier Bartlett, 14.3) · 8-90 (Michael Neser, 15.1) · 9-102 (Spencer Johnson, 16.3) · 10-113 (Matthew Kuhnemann, 17.5)
Recorded target: 153 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 21/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 28/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 34/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 38/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 43/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 49/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 51/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 55/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 66/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 73/5 |
| 14 | 12 | 85/6 |
| 15 | 5 | 90/7 |
| 16 | 8 | 98/8 |
| 17 | 13 | 111/9 |
| 18 | 2 | 113/10 |
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Neser: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Peirson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Hayden Kerr: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Stephen O'Keefe: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Todd Murphy: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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