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Photo: Mattinbgn ( talk · contribs )
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Women's Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Women
29 Nov 2025 · T20
Junction Oval, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 44%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 44% to 100% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 0% to 56%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Deandra Dottincaught · Maisy Gibson · Rhys McKenna3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Maisy Gibson · b Rhys McKenna | 23 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 109.52 |
 Courtney Webbcaught and bowled · Marizanne Kapp1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Marizanne Kapp | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Naomi Stalenbergcaught · Maisy Gibson · Kim Garth0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Maisy Gibson · b Kim Garth | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
 |
| caught · Rhys McKenna · b Maisy Gibson |
| 15 |
| 15 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
 Georgia Warehamcaught · Sasha Moloney · Maisy Gibson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sasha Moloney · b Maisy Gibson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Nicole Faltumcaught · Meg Lanning · Annabel Sutherland3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Meg Lanning · b Annabel Sutherland | 23 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 121.05 |
|---|
 Tess Flintoffcaught and bowled · Kim Garth1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Kim Garth | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 122.22 |
|---|
 Sarah Coytecaught · Annabel Sutherland · Sophie Day0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Annabel Sutherland · b Sophie Day | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Issy Wongrun out · Rhys McKenna, Maisy Gibson · Maisy Gibson 2 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Rhys McKenna, Maisy Gibson | 20 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 181.82 |
|---|
 Charis Bekkercaught · Rhys McKenna · Maisy Gibson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rhys McKenna · b Maisy Gibson | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Milly Illingworthnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marizanne Kapp0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Kim Garth1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 18 | 2 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Sophie Day0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Maisy Gibson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 6.80 | 0 | 0 |
 Annabel Sutherland0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Rhys McKenna0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-16 (Courtney Webb, 2.2) · 2-19 (Naomi Stalenberg, 3.2) · 3-39 (Alice Capsey, 6.4) · 4-39 (Georgia Wareham, 6.5) · 5-57 (Deandra Dottin, 9.2) · 6-86 (Tess Flintoff, 12.5) · 7-86 (Nicole Faltum, 13.1) · 8-92 (Sarah Coyte, 14.1) · 9-112 (Charis Bekker, 16.1) · 10-115 (Issy Wong, 16.3)
Recorded target: 161 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 19/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 25/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 35/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 39/4 |
| 8 | 7 | 46/4 |
| 9 | 10 | 56/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 61/5 |
| 11 | 8 | 69/5 |
| 12 | 7 | 76/5 |
| 13 | 10 | 86/6 |
| 14 | 6 | 92/7 |
| 15 | 3 | 95/8 |
| 16 | 17 | 112/8 |
| 17 | 3 | 115/10 |
Georgia Wareham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charis Bekker: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sarah Coyte: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Marizanne Kapp: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Meg Lanning: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Day: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tess Flintoff: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Gibson: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maisy Gibson: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sasha Moloney: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kim Garth: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Naomi Stalenberg: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rhys McKenna: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Annabel Sutherland: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Courtney Webb: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nicole Faltum: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alice Capsey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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