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Asian Cricket Council Women's Premier Cup · 2023/24 · Women
13 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Nepal more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nepal started on 88%; Nepal batted first.
Nepal's chances ranged from 89% to 100% during the match (Maldives: 0% to 11%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Kunwarcaught · Latsha Haleemath · Shamma Ali 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Latsha Haleemath · b Shamma Ali | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 130.00 |
 Sita Rana Magarcaught · Nabaa Naseem · Shamma Ali2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nabaa Naseem · b Shamma Ali | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 136.36 |
| I Barmacaught · Aishath Meesa Rameez · Shamma Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aishath Meesa Rameez · b Shamma Ali | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Rubina Chhetrinot out10 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 118* | 59 | 10 | 5 | 200.00 |
| Dolly Bhatta |
| caught · Latsha Haleemath · b Nabaa Naseem |
| 6 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 150.00 |
| Puja Mahatonot out 5 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 59* | 36 | 5 | 1 | 163.89 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 14 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamma Ali0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 3 | 11.00 | 8 | 0 |
| Aishath Meesa Rameez0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 56 | 0 | 14.00 | 3 | 1 |
| Sumayya Abdul0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nabaa Naseem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 11.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Latsha Haleemath0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 10.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Maaha Naseer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-33 (K Kunwar, 2.2) · 2-33 (I Barma, 2.3) · 3-48 (Sita Rana Magar, 5.0) · 4-61 (Dolly Bhatta, 6.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 17 | 28/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 39/2 |
| 4 | 8 | 47/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 48/3 |
| 6 | 12 | 60/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 65/4 |
| 8 | 7 | 72/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 81/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 87/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 95/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 103/4 |
| 13 | 16 | 119/4 |
| 14 | 13 | 132/4 |
| 15 | 11 | 143/4 |
| 16 | 19 | 162/4 |
| 17 | 6 | 168/4 |
| 18 | 20 | 188/4 |
| 19 | 21 | 209/4 |
| 20 | 18 | 227/4 |
Kabita Joshi: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sita Rana Magar: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rubina Chhetri: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Asmina Karmacharya: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
