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Nordic Women T20 Cup · 2024 · Women
10 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Norway more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Norway started on 82%; Norway batted first.
Norway's chances ranged from 38% to 100% during the match (Estonia: 0% to 62%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Zholudzbowled · Mirab Razwan 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mirab Razwan | 11 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 44.00 |
| B Wanirun out · Alina Aslam · R Immadi 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Alina Aslam | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| H Kergebowled · P Agrawal 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b P Agrawal | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| L Sormuscaught · VB Viyala · Lopamudra 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · VB Viyala · b Lopamudra | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| A Vessiklbw · P Agrawal 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b P Agrawal | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| N Tykhonravovabowled · Mirab Razwan0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b Mirab Razwan |
| 9 |
| 16 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 56.25 |
| Ragne Hallikbowled · P Agrawal 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b P Agrawal | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| M Valnercaught and bowled · Lopamudra 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Lopamudra | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 31.25 |
|---|
| Viktoria Freybowled · R Immadi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b R Immadi | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| E Ellermaanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 16 | 0 | 0 | 18.75 |
|---|
| S Pattendennot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 27 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alina Aslam0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 2.25 | 2 | 1 |
| R Immadi0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 7 | 0 |
| Lopamudra0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 3 | 1 |
| P Agrawal0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 3.50 | 6 | 0 |
| Mirab Razwan0 maidens · 9 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 9 | 0 |
1-7 (B Wani, 1.4) · 2-23 (H Kerge, 5.4) · 3-30 (L Sormus, 6.4) · 4-34 (A Vessik, 7.5) · 5-34 (N Zholudz, 8.1) · 6-46 (Ragne Hallik, 10.0) · 7-61 (M Valner, 14.2) · 8-64 (N Tykhonravova, 15.3) · 9-66 (Viktoria Frey, 17.1)
Recorded target: 110 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 15/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 21/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 28/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 33/3 |
| 8 | 1 | 34/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 43/5 |
| 10 | 3 | 46/6 |
| 11 | 6 | 52/6 |
| 12 | 3 | 55/6 |
| 13 | 5 | 60/6 |
| 14 | 1 | 61/6 |
| 15 | 2 | 63/7 |
| 16 | 1 | 64/8 |
| 17 | 2 | 66/8 |
| 18 | 1 | 67/9 |
| 19 | 4 | 71/9 |
| 20 | 3 | 74/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.