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Photo: Rae Allen
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
16 Jan 2025 · T20
Brisbane Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 51%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 12% to 84% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 16% to 88%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 16 Jan 2025, Brisbane Heat played Hobart Hurricanes at Brisbane Cricket Ground. Recorded result: Hobart Hurricanes won by 5 wickets.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.