Jamaica KingsmenversusSt Kitts and Nevis Patriots

18 Aug 2026 · T20

Sabina Park · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Jamaica Kingsmen won by 51 runs

Jamaica Kingsmen20.0 overs181/6 St Kitts and Nevis Patriots18.0 overs130/10 Sabina Park ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Jamaica Kingsmen started on 51%; Jamaica Kingsmen batted first.

Jamaica Kingsmen’s chance of winning (%) · St Kitts and Nevis Patriots is the rest

Jamaica Kingsmen's chances ranged from 24% to 100% during the match (St Kitts and Nevis Patriots: 0% to 76%).

Biggest swings

0.2: SN Netravalkar to KSA McKenzie, KSA McKenzie out. St Kitts and Nevis Patriots up from 49% to 64%.
2nd inns 3.4: Hunain Shah to J Charles, J Charles out. Jamaica Kingsmen up from 61% to 74%.
2nd inns 7.6: VO Lawes to Nikhil Chaudhary, Nikhil Chaudhary out. Jamaica Kingsmen up from 78% to 89%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Jamaica Kingsmen181/6 St Kitts and Nevis Patriots130/10

Innings 1