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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
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Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
1 Jul 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 54%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 31% to 88% during the match (Derbyshire: 12% to 69%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Michael Jonescaught · Sufyan Moqeem · Nick Potts5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sufyan Moqeem · b Nick Potts | 29 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 207.14 |
| Keaton Jenningsbowled · Matthew Montgomery 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Matthew Montgomery | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 112.50 |
| Liam Livingstonecaught · Aneurin Donald · Akif Javed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aneurin Donald · b Akif Javed | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Matthew Hurstcaught · Sufyan Moqeem · Nick Potts 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sufyan Moqeem · b Nick Potts | 29 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 145.00 |
| Ben McDermottstumped · Aneurin Donald · Sufyan Moqeem 3 fours · 6 sixes |
| stumped · Aneurin Donald · b Sufyan Moqeem |
| 68 |
| 40 |
| 3 |
| 6 |
| 170.00 |
 Shadab Khancaught · MYB Naeem · Nick Potts6 fours · 4 sixes | caught · MYB Naeem · b Nick Potts | 58 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 263.64 |
|---|
| J Mooresbowled · Akif Javed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Akif Javed | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Jack Blatherwickbowled · Akif Javed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Akif Javed | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Tom Hartleybowled · Akif Javed0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Akif Javed | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Tom Aspinwallnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 James Andersonrun out · Matthew Montgomery, Akif Javed · Akif Javed0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Matthew Montgomery, Akif Javed | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Montgomery0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Aitchison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 51 | 0 | 17.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Potts0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 9.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Akif Javed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 4 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sufyan Moqeem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Martin Andersson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 16.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-21 (Keaton Jennings, 2.1) · 2-40 (Michael Jones, 4.0) · 3-41 (Liam Livingstone, 5.1) · 4-116 (Matthew Hurst, 13.1) · 5-182 (Ben McDermott, 17.3) · 6-201 (Shadab Khan, 18.5) · 7-202 (Jack Blatherwick, 19.1) · 8-202 (Tom Hartley, 19.2) · 9-205 (J Moores, 19.5) · 10-205 (James Anderson, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 19 | 21/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 40/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 41/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 45/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 48/3 |
| 8 | 11 | 59/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 63/3 |
| 10 | 19 | 82/3 |
| 11 | 13 | 95/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 103/3 |
| 13 | 13 | 116/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 123/4 |
| 15 | 14 | 137/4 |
| 16 | 19 | 156/4 |
| 17 | 24 | 180/4 |
| 18 | 13 | 193/5 |
| 19 | 9 | 202/6 |
| 20 | 3 | 205/10 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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